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11/08/2011 4:27 pm  #51


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

"Can I stick it to the Cardinals for making me go through this shit after 11 seasons of excellent and underpaid service?

Sign with the Cubs, try to be a part of another World Series, while sticking it to St. Louis. Join the Hall of Fame as a Cub.

So unless he's going to get the 25+ million dollar deal over 8+ seasons, which nobody thinks he'll get, I can EASILY see him signing with the Cubs."

Alz, a big part of where our opinions depart is the amount of animosity you seem to think Pujols harbors towards the organization.  I don't think that Pujols has any desire whatsoever to "stick it" to St. Louis.  And I promise you right now, there isn't a snowballs chance in hell he enters the Hall of Fame wearing a hat that doesn't have StL on the front of it.

 

11/08/2011 4:31 pm  #52


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

APRTW wrote:

Still if the Cardinals keep winning people will keep coming no matter who is standing at first.

Spot on.  I would also expect a bump in season ticket sales after winning the WS last year.  That will go a long way to helping them not approach the type of losses you're talking about.

     Thread Starter
 

11/08/2011 5:11 pm  #53


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

forsberg_us wrote:

"FWIW, I think the Cubs have the money to buy a competitive team next year if they choose to do so. "

Maybe, but have you looked at the list of available free agents?  It's not a great list, expecially considering their needs.

I haven't, but adding Pujols would be a big boost to almost any team.  Off the top of my head, supposing they can come to terms with Ramirez:
     

                BA/SLG
SS Castro (R) .307/.432
CF Byrd (R) .276/.395
1B Pujols (R) .299/.541
3B Ramirez (R) .306/.510
RF Johnson (R) .309/.467
LF Soriano (R) .244/.469
2B Barney (R) .276/.354
C Soto (R) .228/.411

If they could upgrade at 2 of these positions, CF, 2B, C, and in the process add some lefties or switch hitters, their batting order, at least, would begin to look formidable.  For example, if there is money to get Pujols and Rollins, and then move either Castro or Rollins to 2B.  There are outfield options like Coco Crisp, Grady Sizemore, and Jason Kubel, all of whom can bat lefty.

Starting pitching will be rough, but though I was laughed at last year, many of the Freddy Garcia, Chris Capuano type rehab projects produced reasonable middle to back of the rotation pitchers last year.  The key is in quantity.  If the money is there, there are lots of SP available. 

Papelbon is available as closer.

But I concede that the Cubs resources are finite, and they won't be able to get Pujols AND top FA's for middle infield, CF, 2 SP, and closer.  They'll need to go for economy somewhere.

Last edited by Max (11/08/2011 5:12 pm)

 

11/08/2011 5:48 pm  #54


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

"But I concede that the Cubs resources are finite, and they won't be able to get Pujols AND top FA's for middle infield, CF, 2 SP, and closer.  They'll need to go for economy somewhere."

That's where I think their problem lies.  I think the Cubs would have to make Pujols an offer he couldn't refuse to actually get him--say something in the $28-30M/year range.  If they did that, they'd already have $100M tied up in 7 players (Pujols, Soriano, Dempster, Zambrano, Marmol, Marshall and Byrd.  Garza and Soto probably cost a little over $10M combined.  That's $110M for 3 starters, 4 position players, a closer and a set-up guy.  That doesn't leave much room to upgrade unless Ricketts is willing to increase salary for 2012.

I understand the theory behind Epstein going "splashy," but the much smarter play would be to get multiple quality players in order to have a foundation in place for 2013 and beyond.

     Thread Starter
 

11/08/2011 6:30 pm  #55


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

Max, The Cubs wont be shopping for a 2b.  Barney is young and a good ballplayer.  Also Ramirez is a free agent.  Reed Johnson wont be their starting RFer.

Fors, I agree with what you said.  The Cubs have a good chunk of money to spend but alot of needs.  Epstien is a smart man.  He should know that he cant buy a ring and that the situation in Chicago is alot different then what he took over in Boston.  The Red Sox were already built to win.  I dont think Pujols is headed there but my opinions on the matter seem to change everyday.  If Epstien ends the drought in Chicago he will be the best GM in history havng ended two of the longest world series drought in history.

Last edited by APRTW (11/08/2011 6:31 pm)

 

11/08/2011 6:51 pm  #56


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

APRTW wrote:

Max, The Cubs wont be shopping for a 2b.  Barney is young and a good ballplayer.  Also Ramirez is a free agent.  Reed Johnson wont be their starting RFer.

Fine, then that fills one hole, if we assume Barney is going to get better enough to allow them to contend.   2B is a relatively easy place to find a lefty or switch hitter, though. 

Next, I wrote, "supposing they can come to terms with Ramirez".

Finally, maybe Reed won't be their starter.  Maybe they'll trade for Craig, who knows?

Fors offered the game and so I am playing.  Yes the Cubs stink and are more than a year away for any normal team, but not for one that can spend their way to competitiveness.   Their offense isn;t that bad if you add Pujols, and give him a couple of more bats to work with and it could be a very good offense by next season. 


                BA/SLG
SS Castro (R) .307/.432
CF Byrd (R) .276/.395
1B Pujols (R) .299/.541
3B Ramirez (R) .306/.510
RF Johnson (R) .309/.467
LF Soriano (R) .244/.469
2B Barney (R) .276/.354
C Soto (R) .228/.411

Lots of interesting names on the list.

By the way, the random blogger has an interesting take on Dontrelle Willis, one the Cardinals should consider if the price is right.

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=jp-passan_ultimate_free_agent_tracker_baseball_110211

 

11/08/2011 9:46 pm  #57


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

"By the way, the random blogger has an interesting take"

My first impression is after the top two it's a pretty unremarkable FA class. My second impression is the Random Blogger has a wild man-crush on Carlos Beltran.

 

11/08/2011 9:56 pm  #58


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

And this is truly funny:

"142. Vicente Padilla(notes), SP/RP: Won the ESPY for injury imitating life this year following surgery for a pain in his neck."

 

11/08/2011 10:14 pm  #59


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

"If Epstien ends the drought in Chicago he will be the best GM in history havng ended two of the longest world series drought in history."

History will probably record it that way, but really, how difficult is it to compile a roster when you've got unlimited resources? I've never understood the affinity for Theo beyond the people who have rooted for the Red Sox for their entire lives who were desperate for a World Series title.
Brian Cashman has won twice as many World Series and three times as many pennants, but I don't see anyone calling him a genius.

 

11/08/2011 10:51 pm  #60


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

artie_fufkin wrote:

"If Epstien ends the drought in Chicago he will be the best GM in history havng ended two of the longest world series drought in history."

History will probably record it that way, but really, how difficult is it to compile a roster when you've got unlimited resources? I've never understood the affinity for Theo beyond the people who have rooted for the Red Sox for their entire lives who were desperate for a World Series title.
Brian Cashman has won twice as many World Series and three times as many pennants, but I don't see anyone calling him a genius.

The irony is that Epstein's "genius" is at least, in part, attributable to Mariano Rivera blowing back-to-back saves in the 2004 LCS--a nearly unthinkable occurrence.

     Thread Starter
 

11/08/2011 11:12 pm  #61


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

artie_fufkin wrote:

"By the way, the random blogger has an interesting take"

My first impression is after the top two it's a pretty unremarkable FA class. My second impression is the Random Blogger has a wild man-crush on Carlos Beltran.

#4 is not bad.  And in any case, there are enough medium names to piece together a contender with money alone.


I like the thought that Dontrelle Willis might become a lefty specialist, something the Cards are always in the market for.

Last edited by Max (11/08/2011 11:12 pm)

 

11/09/2011 12:00 am  #62


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

"there are enough medium names to piece together a contender with money alone."

Seriously??  Who?  That list is filled with aging players in major decline.  If there was ever a year to not dip in the pool, it's this year.

     Thread Starter
 

11/09/2011 9:17 am  #63


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

"I like the thought that Dontrelle Willis might become a lefty specialist, something the Cards are always in the market for."

I don't see it, Max. You'd be asking a guy with a fragile psyche who had to set aside a lot of emotional baggage just to get back to the major leagues to adopt a new role.
I understand the appeal, but he's not the same pitcher he was when he won 20 for the Marlins.
The LOOGY will probably be another wily veteran from the Trever Miller/Denys Reyes mold.

 

11/09/2011 9:27 am  #64


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

forsberg_us wrote:

artie_fufkin wrote:

"If Epstien ends the drought in Chicago he will be the best GM in history havng ended two of the longest world series drought in history."

History will probably record it that way, but really, how difficult is it to compile a roster when you've got unlimited resources? I've never understood the affinity for Theo beyond the people who have rooted for the Red Sox for their entire lives who were desperate for a World Series title.
Brian Cashman has won twice as many World Series and three times as many pennants, but I don't see anyone calling him a genius.

The irony is that Epstein's "genius" is at least, in part, attributable to Mariano Rivera blowing back-to-back saves in the 2004 LCS--a nearly unthinkable occurrence.

The one thing about that team for which Epstein deserves credit is pulling off the Garciaparra trade. That took a lot of guts, because Nomar had been god-like around here. But it was clear by the middle of 2004 that he was a defensive liability at shortstop, and his sulking and pouting ostracized him from the rest of the team. And history proved it was the right move to make.

 

11/09/2011 9:44 am  #65


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

We'll see Fors, hopefully it never gets proven. However, your stance that free agents love their original city because of happy times even when they leave is junk. If they get pissed or dissed (in their opinion) going out the door, all bets are off. There have been things that could be pissing off Pujols for the last 3 years.

Just as you are discounting my opinion that there are no ill feelings, I can easily dismiss your "happy candyland views" as rose-colored. You're talking about a man looking for 200 million dollars, and you just made him play out a contract leaving his career vulnerable in the event of injury. This man played 11 years giving you a hometown discount, and now you won't pay him a real value? Apparently you don't realize what message that sends, so here's a very possible translation.

"We'll only keep you for cheap, we're not paying you what you're worth, if you don't like it, leave."

We can debate what he's worth all day, won't matter. What matters is what Pujols believes he's worth. If he ever reads the Cardinals in the above fashion (And he may have already, despite his public rhetoric, you've noticed he hasn't committed shit to actually staying here), his gooey batty-eyed love-fest for this place will turn to Brett Favre/Packers type hatred in a hurry. Loving where you play and feeling fucked over by them tends to make it worse.

We'll see.

 

11/09/2011 10:30 am  #66


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

alz wrote:

We'll see Fors, hopefully it never gets proven. However, your stance that free agents love their original city because of happy times even when they leave is junk. If they get pissed or dissed (in their opinion) going out the door, all bets are off. There have been things that could be pissing off Pujols for the last 3 years.

How many ex-Cardinals recieved warm welcomes in their return?  Edmonds and Rolen come to mind.  Even now Rolen gets a nice clapping response when he comes to bat a Busch.  Guys like Eck, Miles, Suppan and company always get alittle love and never say an ill word toward the club that decided to ditch them.

 

11/09/2011 10:53 am  #67


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

Back to the Cubs discussion.  For sake of proving there issues i'll attempt a roster matrix.  Playing the optimistic Cubs fan payroll will remain the same (134) and arbitration player will recieve 2011 pay. 

1b-open
2b-Barney-.5mill
ss-Castro-.5mill
3b-open
c-soto-3mill
rf-open
cf-Byrd-6.5mill
lf-Soriano-18mill

bn-Hill-.8mill
bn-Baker-1mill
bn-Dewitt-.5
bn-colvin-.5mill
bn

sp-Zamboner-18mill
sp-Dempster-14mill
sp-Garza-6mill
sp-
sp-

bp-Marmol-7mill
bp-Samardzija-3mill (assume option)
bp-Marshall-3mill
bp-Wells-.5
bp
bp


That is a payroll of 82.8 million (leaves them with 51mill to spend to reach 2011 totals) with the need for a starting 1b,3b,rf.  They need 2 starting pitch if they keep Zambrano.  They also need 2 bullpen pitchers and 2 bench spots. They cant go bargin hunting for bench and bullpen pitcher because their team is so weak.  They dont have a standout player on the whole team and must shop for top of the line corner infielders and starters.  Pujols is top of the line but unless they increase the payroll to 150mill their wont be room to make the team any good.  Plus that is the same things that caused this mess.  They payed top dollars to win now and are now suffering through the contracts.  That cycle has to end.

Edit: I forgot to mention the 1 million dollar signing bonus owed to Zambrano and Soriano and a 2 million buyouy owed to Carlos Silva.  So really it is currently a 86million payroll and 47 to spend.

Last edited by APRTW (11/09/2011 11:07 am)

 

11/09/2011 11:06 am  #68


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

For fun lets play Theo and fill in the blanks with FAs. I am still the optimistic Cub fan 

1b-Pujols-25million
3b-Ramirez-10million
rf-Cuddyer-5mill
sp-Javier Vazquez-13mill
sp-Freddy Garcia-5mill

I just assumed low contracts but made the team respectable.  Still I didnt address the BP or BN and spent 58 million putting me over budget.

Castro
Cuddyer
Pujols
Aram
Byrd
Soriano
Barney
Soto

Vazquez
Dempster
Garza
Zamboner
Garcia

 

11/09/2011 11:27 am  #69


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

I would use the 2010 opening day payroll as a starting point, and assume it could go north from there.  Give yourself $150 million, if you get Francona and Pujols on the promise that they go all in.

2010 Chicago Cubs     $ 146,609,000

 

11/09/2011 11:46 am  #70


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

Max wrote:

I would use the 2010 opening day payroll as a starting point, and assume it could go north from there.  Give yourself $150 million, if you get Francona and Pujols on the promise that they go all in.

2010 Chicago Cubs     $ 146,609,000

They stated publicly after the 2010 season that they were going to decrease payroll.  I am sure their idea for bringing in Theo wasnt to reopen the bottomless wallet but rather to improve the system top to bottom.  TK has already commented on Theo theory on minors.  As I have previously pointed out, he didnt rebuilt the Red Sox's or make alot of huge free agent moves.  Instead he developed players and added a key free agent here and there.  It worked for him and Boston and I am sure he isnt going reinvent himself in Chicago.  I am sure the new ownership didnt fire the old GM to turn around and hire someone would was going to run the club the same way. They are learning now what overpaying does to a club.  If not for the huge contracts to Sorinao and Zambrano coupled with over paying Fukudome and the disaster that was Milton Bradely the club might still be a threat.

 

11/09/2011 11:52 am  #71


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

My point was that the money is there if they want to use it.  If they want to go a different direction, that too is one of their options.

 

11/09/2011 12:03 pm  #72


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

"Guys like Eck, Miles, Suppan and company always get alittle love and never say an ill word toward the club that decided to ditch them."

A-hem. I distinctly remember Miles trashing the Cardinals for letting go of "someone who plays the game the right way" on his way out the door.

 

11/09/2011 12:08 pm  #73


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

"3b-Ramirez-10million"

Ramirez declined an option for $16 million next year, so he's probably going to cost more than $10 million.
Why the hell are we doing this anyway? Who in the world cares about a team that finished behind the Pirates?

Last edited by artie_fufkin (11/09/2011 12:09 pm)

 

11/09/2011 12:12 pm  #74


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

artie_fufkin wrote:

"Guys like Eck, Miles, Suppan and company always get alittle love and never say an ill word toward the club that decided to ditch them."

A-hem. I distinctly remember Miles trashing the Cardinals for letting go of "someone who plays the game the right way" on his way out the door.

Maybe that soured some people but it really wasnt war.  Maybe I am wrong but it seems like Cardinals that are let go or decide to leave in general are treated well and in general have nice things to say about the club.  Rolen has remain respectfull and I think alot of him for that.  Rasmus' deal would have came the closest to war.

 

11/09/2011 12:16 pm  #75


Re: Pujols Specific Discussion

artie_fufkin wrote:

"3b-Ramirez-10million"

Ramirez declined an option for $16 million next year, so he's probably going to cost more than $10 million.
Why the hell are we doing this anyway? Who in the world cares about a team that finished behind the Pirates?

I said I was being the optimistic Cub fan.

I did it because the debate was how bad are the Cub/how bad is their payroll issues/what it would take to fix the team in realationship to signing Pujols.

 

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