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Ranks the Cardinals #4 among organizations and four Cardinals make his Top 100 prospects list
I can't post a link because they are ESPN Insider stories, but here's what he had to say.
4. St. Louis Cardinals
They've drafted very well in the past few years, which has to be heartening to Astros fans, as Houston just hired Jeff Luhnow, who oversaw the Cards' recent drafts, as GM. St. Louis also has done an excellent job of developing the players it's drafted. I really like how the Cards are set up to contend continuously during the next five years.
5. Shelby Miller
Age: 21 (DOB: Oct. 10, 1990)
Bats: Right Throws: Right
Position: Pitcher
Organization: St. Louis Cardinals
Top '11 Level: AA (Springfield)
2011 ranking: 9
2011 MINORS STATS
GM 25
IP 139.2
W 11
L 6
ERA2.77
SO 170
BB 53
H 112
HR 4
BAA .219
Miller is the top right-handed pitching prospect in the minors, with the best combination of stuff, size, delivery and results of any pitcher in the minors not named Matt Moore.
He will sit in the low- to mid-90s and touch 97 mph as a starter with a sharp breaking ball in the upper-70s/low-80s with good depth that misses right-handed hitters' bats. He continued to make progress this year with his changeup, a pitch he rarely needed or used as an amateur, and the pitch has good tailing action that has helped him gets some swinging strikes against lefties. He is very receptive to coaches' suggestions and has proved a quick study so far.
He often lands on the third-base side of the rubber and comes slightly across his body, creating deception but also potentially putting stress on his shoulder. If the Cardinals can keep him more on line, and he sees more improvement in the changeup and command of the fastball, he's a potential No. 1 starter for the Cardinals in two or three years.
22. Carlos Martinez
Age: 20 (DOB: Sept. 2, 1991)
Bats: Right Throws: Right
Position: Pitcher
Organization: St. Louis Cardinals
Top '11 Level: A (Palm Beach)
2011 ranking: 52
2011 MINORS STATS
GM 18
IP 84.2
W 6
L 5
ERA 3.93
SO 98
BB 44
H 76
HR 3
BAA .238
Martinez -- formerly known as Matias -- was originally signed as a shortstop by the Red Sox in 2009, had the deal voided due to an identity question, but started throwing hard enough to earn a seven-figure bonus from the Cardinals a few months later. He now hits 100 mph as a starter and pitches in the mid-90s, with a hard curveball that has sharp two-plane break and tilt that puts it somewhere between a curve and a slider. As good as the curveball is, however, it's so far below the fastball's velocity -- 16-18 mph -- that he's sometimes actually helping the hitter by throwing it. He'll flash a plus changeup that he turns over very well, but when he moved up to high Class A, his lack of deception caught up to him, especially against left-handed hitters.
The Cardinals already have made some adjustments with him so the ball isn't so visible all the way through his delivery, and he needs to avoid trying to be too fine with his pitches when he gets into trouble. He's not a very physical guy -- his best comparable in build might be Pedro Martinez -- but he has the three weapons to remain a starter if he can make it harder for hitters to pick up the ball so early. It's top-of-the-rotation stuff in a pitcher who would be a college junior this year if he'd been born in the U.S.
53. Oscar Taveras
Age: 19 (DOB: June 19, 1992)
Bats: Left Throws: Left
Position: Outfield
Organization: St. Louis Cardinals
Top '11 Level: A (Quad Cities)
2011 ranking: UR
2011 MINORS STATS
GM 78
AB 308
HR 8
RBI 62
SB 1
SO 52
BB 32
AVG .386
OBP .444
SLG .584
Taveras played a little over half a season in the Midwest League, and led the league in batting average, on-base percentage and slugging with a very high contact rate despite a crazy swing.
He loads his hands high and deep, keeping them steady as he starts his stride, even letting them drift higher before he starts his hands -- but his hand acceleration is explosive. He's very rotational, and likes to get his arms fully extended no matter where the ball is, which should leave him vulnerable on the inner half and will make it harder for him to make adjustments. He can end up off balance from the force of the swing, and max-effort swings like this are rare in the big leagues; however, hand-eye coordination like Taveras' is pretty rare, and the fact that he makes so much contact, most of it hard, is a huge positive. He's a potential middle-of-the-order bat with some defensive value in right.
92. Jordan Swagerty
Age: 22 (DOB: July 14, 1989)
Bats: Switch Throws: Right
Position: Pitcher
Organization: St. Louis Cardinals
Top '11 Level: AA (Springfield)
2011 ranking: UR
2011 MINORS STATS
GM 36
IP 93.2
W 5
L 3
ERA 1.83
SO 89
BB 23
H 68
HR 4
BAA .204
Swagerty was a two-pitch reliever at Arizona State who became a scouts' favorite for his high-energy style and aggressive approach to attacking hitters. Since then, he has showed four pitches all projecting as average or better and now projects as a potential mid-rotation starter who could always return to the pen if he can't handle the workload. Swagerty sits at 90-94 mph with that same out-pitch breaking ball he showed in college, but his changeup is improving with use and he has the feel to mix up all four offerings, throwing any pitch in any count, all of them for strikes.
He's tall enough to get plane on the fastball, but his frame isn't broad like most workhorse starters', so there's still some skepticism about his ability to handle 180-plus innings, and he'll need to get left-handers out more consistently. He's strong and athletic with feel, and I hate consigning guys with all of that and at least three pitches to the bullpen, especially since that will always be there as a fallback option if starting doesn't work out.
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What other year was it that the Cardinals farm system ranked high? Was that when Rasmus was in double A?
It seems to me that Farm Systems get ranked high if they have a couple of highly thought of prospects but I believe the Cardinals have also been trying to build a steady base of players at every position. While the players Law named are all interesting there are still guys like Cox, Wong and Adams that could turn into great major league players. I dont think the Cardinals have put all there eggs in one basket.
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Baseball Prospectus agrees
Kevin Goldstein at Baseball Prospectus listed Miller, Taveras and Martinez as five-star (the most elite) prospects. First baseman Matt Adams and second baseman Kolten Wong were given four stars. And the three-star list of Cardinals prospects has pitcher Jenkins, third baseman Cox, pitcher Trevor Rosenthal, Swagerty, third baseman Matt Carpenter, and shortstop Ryan Jackson.
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forsberg_us wrote:
Baseball Prospectus agrees
Kevin Goldstein at Baseball Prospectus listed Miller, Taveras and Martinez as five-star (the most elite) prospects. First baseman Matt Adams and second baseman Kolten Wong were given four stars. And the three-star list of Cardinals prospects has pitcher Jenkins, third baseman Cox, pitcher Trevor Rosenthal, Swagerty, third baseman Matt Carpenter, and shortstop Ryan Jackson.
I am suprised that Carpenter is that vlaued. I figured his lack of power would hurt his major league projection.
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I missed Cox who came in at #66 and Jenkins who was #74. Also, a pitcher I never heard of was included in Law's list of the "10 that just missed."
66. Zack Cox
Age: 22 (DOB: May 9, 1989)
Bats: Left Throws: Right
Position: Third base
Organization: St. Louis Cardinals
Top '11 Level: AA (Springfield)
2011 ranking: 72
2011 MINORS STATS
GM 135
AB 516
HR 13
RBI 68
SB 2
SO 98
BB 40
AVG .306
OBP .363
SLG .434
Cox went through two levels in 2011, struggling in his first month at each level and then exploding afterwards, hitting for average and power, walking more and striking out less, and generally showing the ability to make adjustments on the fly.
He's cleaned up his swing and keeps his head steady, much like he did as an underclassman at Arkansas, so pitchers can't bust him inside as easily. He'll show above-average raw power in BP, but so far it's not translating to games, at least partly because he focuses on using the whole field and doesn't try to turn on pitches on the inner half. At third base, he'll never be above-average but should be adequate; many of his miscues last year came on popups, of all things, and he does have a plus arm. He did show a platoon split all season -- all 13 of his homers last year came against righties -- and he still has to work on defense and getting that power to play after the game starts.
There's a potential above-average regular here who'll hit for average and power, but if he has to move to first base he'll be off this list.
74. Tyrell Jenkins
Age: 19 (DOB: July 20, 1992)
Bats: Right Throws: Right
Position: Pitcher
Organization: St. Louis Cardinals
Top '11 Level: Rookie (Johnson City)
2011 ranking: Sleeper
2011 MINORS STATS
GM 11
IP 56
W 4
L 2
ERA 3.86
SO 55
BB 13
H 63
HR 3
BAA .296
Jenkins was a three-sport star in high school who turned down a commitment to Baylor in favor of the long road to the majors (and a $1.3 million bonus) that could culminate in a spot at or near the top of a rotation. Jenkins is, as you'd imagine, extremely athletic, but had less baseball experience than the typical U.S. high school pitching prospect. So the Cardinals have taken it slowly with him, holding off his full-season debut until this upcoming season. He'll pitch in the low 90s but can touch 96-97. His curveball is already above-average, and the changeup has developed substantially in his year-plus in St. Louis' system.
Jenkins' control is solid -- he never walked more than two men in any of his 11 outings last year -- but his command is still a work in progress as the Cardinals work with him on consistency in his delivery. He has a high leg kick and stays online to the plate, getting good extension out front that gives the hitter even less time than normal to pick up the pitch. He's also a strong competitor who is willing to mix all his pitches and won't back off a pitch if he makes a mistake with it. He's not polished enough yet to be in the top third of this list, but a full season of pitching and the progress that should come with it would make him one of the top pitching prospects in baseball.
Trevor Rosenthal, RHP: He has the arm strength (hitting 97 mph deep into starts) and size (he's 6-2, 190) to be a starter, but the breaking ball and changeup aren't there yet to lock him in as a future starter. St. Louis deserves credit for identifying him out of Cowley County CC in Arkansas City, Kan., and nabbing him in the 21st round in 2009. He's a another solid signing out of a small school for the Cardinals' amateur department.
Also, from Law's article on "sleeper" prospects
St. Louis Cardinals
I mentioned Trevor Rosenthal in the list of players who just missed; he could jump into the middle of the top 100 next year. The Cardinals also took five-tool outfielder Charlie Tilson in the 2011 draft and went above MLB's recommended bonus to sign him; he's an athletic multi-sport kid who can run, has quick wrists and shows surprising pop for his frame.
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I watched some clips of Miller on MLBN a couple of weeks ago. His changeup is a really good pitch. It breaks down and in to a righty, almost like a Duncan slider. Like the opposite of that pitch Garcia can bust in on a lefty when he's going well. And he seems to have mound presence, though it's hard to tell from a 45-second series of clips.