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The next couple of years include a number of big names and will provide the biggest test yet for those who believe steroid users shouldn't be permitted in the HoF. A few of the names to be added to the next two ballots
2013
Bonds
Clemens
Sosa
Piazza
Biggio
Schilling
2014
Maddux
Glavine
Frank Thomas
Jeff Kent
That list includes 3 pitchers with 300+ wins (2 over 350 Ws), 3 with 3,000+ strikeouts (one over 4,500 Ks), 1 guy with 3,000 hits, the all-time HR leader, another guy with 600+ HR, another with 500+ HR (Thomas), probably the best offensive catcher and two of the best offensive second basemen.
Funny thing is, of those names, about the only one I would comfortably say gets in on his first ballot is Maddux. Piazza probably, and maybe Glavine. Clemens and Bonds are covered with the taint of steroids and Sosa was long suspected of steroid use. Thomas spent the better part of his career as a DH. Biggio, Schilling and Kent are probably guys who get in eventually, but not on their first try.
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What will disappoint me is if Bonds and Clemens get in under the rationale that they were HofF worthy before they took steroids.
I think eventually all the steroid guys on this list get in, and McGwire does to. Maybe 30 years from now, but he'll get in. 583 is too big a number to ignore. Same deal with Sosa.
I think at this point, 300 wins, 3,000 hits and/or 500 homers absent a steroid admission/positive test/indictment gets you in automatically. That leaves out Schilling, Piazza and Kent on these two lists. Piazza gets in because he's the best offensive catcher of all-time. Schilling will certainly promote his cause, and I think he eventually gets in because he was so good in the post-season. I'm not sure about Kent. The argument will be his power numbers as a second baseman, but I always kind of saw him defensively as a misplaced corner infielder/outfielder. There may be some incongruity there because Piazza wasn't a very good defensive catcher, but Piazza's numbers are just so overwhelming compared to other players who played the position. Kent wasn't even the best second baseman of his era.
Last edited by artie_fufkin (2/14/2012 6:14 pm)
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I would be shocked if Clemens or Bonds get in on their first ballot. I think even those who would vote them in based on a "pre-steroid" basis would make them wait at least a year on principle.
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I'm still holding strong to the "If McGwire/Palmiero can't get in, no juicer gets in" line. I don't expect Bonds, Clemens, Alex Rodriguez, Sosa, to get in at all. I don't mind any of them getting in, but if they do get in, there's no reason in the world why McGwire shouldn't be there.
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Followup, heard this on 101.1 from the Fast Lane.
Compare Schilling's numbers to Bob Gibson, it's scary how close they were. Schilling was under everyone's radar that didn't play Fantasy Baseball, but he was unbelievably good for a long time.
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alz wrote:
I'm still holding strong to the "If McGwire/Palmiero can't get in, no juicer gets in" line. I don't expect Bonds, Clemens, Alex Rodriguez, Sosa, to get in at all. I don't mind any of them getting in, but if they do get in, there's no reason in the world why McGwire shouldn't be there.
I know I've written this a zillion times before, but if ham-and-eggers like Jason Grimsley and Manny Alexander were juicing, then there's no way of knowing how pervasive steroid use was.
I've kind of taken a much more libertarian mentality toward the steroid era. If a guy wants to fill his liver with poison and take a few years off his life in exchange for fame and enough money to last the rest of his life and maybe generations beyond, then who's to say he's wrong?
This may have been brought up before here, but there was an interesting documentary that came out a few years ago about steroids. There was a guy, a body-builder or a guy who trained body-builders, who claimed there's no evidence that steroids cause health problems, outside of acne and bad breath. I guess we'll see what becomes of Sosa, McGwire, et al, as they get older, but steroids were prevalent in the NFL at least going back to the '70s. The Steelers supposedly handed them out like Pez. Off the top of my head, none of those guys has met an early demise, except for Mike Webster.
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"I know I've written this a zillion times before, but if ham-and-eggers like Jason Grimsley and Manny Alexander were juicing, then there's no way of knowing how pervasive steroid use was."
Two words--
Cody McKay
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I think everyone on that list is a HOFer even Kent. He was 7 RBIs way from having 8 100 RBI seasons in a row. For a second baseman that is big.
I think you have to let all players in based on their numbers. Leave steroid usage out of it. Bonds and Clemens never had a positive test under current testing rules and have denied usage. McGwire never had a positve test but admitted to use. Why should McGwire be punished for honesty. I dont think what a player did before they were suspected of using weighs in at all. There is to much unknown there. Also if the rational that some players used just because of time they played and having power numbers like other players to keep them out of the HOF then there is no stopping. Bottomline is there are already people who used PED in the HOF and more will be put in. It cant be helped. Might as well just let them all in. Numbers are numbers.
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I didn't mean for that to come over as an overall "no" to HoF entry for users. On the contrary, I have no problems with anyone's career warranting them entry into the Hall of Fame. How they got there, right or wrong, is almost a triviality.
I'm just making the statement that it seems pretty piss-poor for Bonds/Clemens to get the vote, when you denied McGwire for PED's. 583 HR's, 10th on the all time list, and one time holder of the single season HR record. In my opinion that's a HoF career. If you want him to be refused for PED's then I understand, but at that point you can't let in Manny/ARod/Clemens/Bonds or any number of other offenders.
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APRTW wrote:
Bonds and Clemens never had a positive test under current testing rules and have denied usage.
Without harping on too much about this, I wanted to clarify something. Bonds was in serious hot water from the Fed's for lying, based on hard concrete failed urine samples they collected from Balco during their search and siezure. Bonds did not get out of those perjury convictions because he was innocent (in the sense that he never used), he got out of them because those damning piss-vials were deemed inadmissable in court due to an illegal search and siezure. The Feds weren't supposed to confiscate everything at Balco, and did.
While that can keep him out of jail, MLB is under no requirement to look the other way when there is hardline proof of his guilt. Clemens? I wanted to say that his trainer still had the syringes, that seems like a pretty simple DNA test to me, and since he's been dealing with a trial, I would assume they have more than just a convict trainer who's "saying otherwise".
Again, whether due process has been followed, privacy rights have been violated, or whatever, that ONLY KEEPS HIM FROM JAIL, and will count for nothing to a Hall of Fame vote. Bonds is guilty as sin, Clemens probably is too.
McGwire never failed an MLB test either.
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I agree that those three and many other have never fail a test. IMO, to keep someone out of the HOF they need to have violated MLB rules. Clemens, Bonds, McGwire ect.... were never found by the MLB to have violated a rule. BALCO and Clemens trial are seperate matters IMO. Again just my opinion, I think in order to punish someone in baseball for steroid use baseball needed to have testing at the time, a system of punishment and a way for players to challange the findings. Without that it is nothing short of a witch hunt and that is what we have seen with guys like Bonds, Clemens and McGwire. Sure we know the truth but without that system in place it creates this unwinnable debate. There will never be a debate by Manny or Braun if the practice becomes not to allow players in that were suspended for PED use. Now the debate is about should players be punished now for mistakes they made before rules were applied.
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"IMO, to keep someone out of the HOF they need to have violated MLB rules."
They better get a crow bar and start removing Gaylord Perry's plaque. He's admitted throwing a spit ball most of his career.
Should Sosa be kept out for using a corked bat?
I'm not looking to start an argument. Just pointing out that the standard you've set carries a pretty broad brush.
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AP I agree with your view on it. If anything I'm more liberal.
McGwire isn't in, despite being eligible for some time now, and having a career that would have warranted an automatic first round ballot. In my opinion, he's being held out because of PED's. If that's the way of it, I'm just saying that needs to be applied to everyone, not just McGwire/Palmiero/Sosa.
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forsberg_us wrote:
"IMO, to keep someone out of the HOF they need to have violated MLB rules."
They better get a crow bar and start removing Gaylord Perry's plaque. He's admitted throwing a spit ball most of his career.
Should Sosa be kept out for using a corked bat?
I'm not looking to start an argument. Just pointing out that the standard you've set carries a pretty broad brush.
That has been my stance since this issue came up. So it is okay for old timers to throw spit balls and scuff the ball up? Most have admitted it just like some sterod users have admitted there faults. It is okay for guys to take handfull of greenies but not HGH and it is different to pitch on coke then a PED? That is a thin line to walk. If they want to ban proven violators of the now enforced drug testing system I would be okay with that. To punish retroactively is un-American.
Edit: I misread your post. I cant really say what sort of violation should warrant a HOF ban. At the very least I think you should violate a rule that is currently in place. That should be an minimum. From there it is still a muddy subject.
Last edited by APRTW (2/15/2012 3:27 pm)
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AP also, it seems to me like you're a big subscriber of the "No whistle, no foul" philosophy. I'm not so sure. I don't consider Clemens/Bonds lying to a grand jury about them using PED's while being professional athletes to be unrelated. Their affiliation to MLB is the only reason they were in the room...
PS so it's okay as long as you're finding new and inventive ways to cheat the sport, before they can make a rule about it?
I'm playing Devil's Adv. with this, sorry.
Last edited by alz (2/15/2012 3:25 pm)
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"Their affiliation to MLB is the only reason they were in the room..."
I also disagree with the government being so involved in baseball's business. If thy want to investigate the drug aspect of it then fine but they were more interested in the baseball end.
"PS so it's okay as long as you're finding new and inventive ways to cheat the sport, before they can make a rule about it? "
Steroids were not new. Baseball allowed it. I dont think an empolyer should punish a worker for doing something they allowed and promoted to some degree.
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"Most have admitted it just like some sterod users have admitted there faults."
The difference being McGwire tried to show some contrition, while Perry's admission was more along that lines of "Nah, nah, you didn't catch me ..."
The silly character clause needs to go. It didn't apply from the start, and it ought not to apply now just because we know more about who these guys truly are. There's no one on the list of confirmed users who was half as much of a jerk as Ty Cobb. Well ... maybe Clemens is half as bad as Cobb, but he's not worse.