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12/06/2010 7:21 pm  #51


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

The radio media personalities, at least those I've heard, have been practically giddy over this signing.

Last edited by forsberg_us (12/06/2010 7:25 pm)

 

12/06/2010 7:26 pm  #52


 

12/06/2010 7:51 pm  #53


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

"I don't know why anyone would believe La Russa will now use a "small ball" approach in the No. 2 lineup spot, especially after landing Berkman."

"Because LaRussa said so," isn't quite the right answer, but it's close.  It's not so much that he said he will go small ball as that he said he envisions batting him 5th when Holliday plays and 4th when he doesn't.  I still think they can have a bat with pop batting second, if it is Rasmus, Craig, or Freese.

In any case, I will no longer try to predict where he will bat.  The whole move is so unsual that it is best seen as a risky gamble, and if Moz's job is in any danger at all, then this is a make or break gamble for him.

Bernie: "Berkman is one of the best hitters of the last decade or so."

That's the problem.  So is Barry Bonds, so is Manny Ramirez.  If I had my druthers I'd like to see them focus on people who we can expect to be the best hitters of THIS decade.  I guess it all depends on what the meaning of the word 'is' is . . .

I hope that this works out and that I am just being a Pollyanna.  Theriot might well become an Eckstein-like addition.  Berkman might stay healthy and see his offensive numbers bounce back a bit.  We might come to find that defense in LF, or lack thereof, isn't such a big deal.  This could all work out . . . but several rolls of the dice have to all come up winners.

 

12/06/2010 8:14 pm  #54


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

TLR tried alot of combos batting second last year.  He will have to do that again this year untill he finds out that Berkman should be there.  It makes for the best lineup.  You can say what you want about hitting into a few more DP and it will be true but you cant have Rasmus SO in front of Pujols either.  As Fors said Berkman's high OBP is a good hit in front of Pujols.  That is also true of Rasmus' power being a better fit to cleanup after Holliday.

 

12/06/2010 11:45 pm  #55


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

One thing we know with Larussa. Whatever the Opening Day lineup, that may be the last day we see it. I suspect we'll see Berkman hit anywhere between 2 and 5, including 3 when Pujols gets a day off.

As far as defense in LF, wasn't Chris Duncan in LF when we won in 2006?  If we can survive Duncan, we can survive Berkman. I'm more concerned about Berkman's ability to stay healthy playing LF than I am his ability to play the position.

 

12/07/2010 12:04 am  #56


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

forsberg_us wrote:

One thing we know with Larussa. Whatever the Opening Day lineup, that may be the last day we see it. I suspect we'll see Berkman hit anywhere between 2 and 5, including 3 when Pujols gets a day off.

As far as defense in LF, wasn't Chris Duncan in LF when we won in 2006?  If we can survive Duncan, we can survive Berkman. I'm more concerned about Berkman's ability to stay healthy playing LF than I am his ability to play the position.

Paragraph 1.  Are you sure you can rule out leadoff?

Paragraph 2.  That's exactly my concern but I think I see it as even more problematic that you do.  I just can't see a player as big as Berkman, even a svelte model, overcoming the knee problems he's had.

Last edited by Mags (12/07/2010 6:29 am)

 

12/07/2010 12:28 am  #57


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

One thing I know is that any issues wont be because of Berkman's effort.  they really did reshape the clubhouse with just 2 moves.

 

12/07/2010 9:31 am  #58


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

"As far as defense in LF, wasn't Chris Duncan in LF when we won in 2006?"

Preston Wilson played a lot of LF in the post-season.
Color me among the crowd that doesn't get this. Signing Berkman, that is. Eight million dollars could have been spent better elsewhere.

 

12/07/2010 9:35 am  #59


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

Agreed. But given their recent track record of either sitting or giving unnecessary extensions, this is a nice change of page.

     Thread Starter
 

12/07/2010 10:03 am  #60


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

artie_fufkin wrote:

"As far as defense in LF, wasn't Chris Duncan in LF when we won in 2006?"

Preston Wilson played a lot of LF in the post-season.
Color me among the crowd that doesn't get this. Signing Berkman, that is. Eight million dollars could have been spent better elsewhere.

I'll ask you the same I've asked other people I've heard make that argument--where and on who?

 

12/07/2010 10:24 am  #61


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

forsberg_us wrote:

artie_fufkin wrote:

"As far as defense in LF, wasn't Chris Duncan in LF when we won in 2006?"

Preston Wilson played a lot of LF in the post-season.
Color me among the crowd that doesn't get this. Signing Berkman, that is. Eight million dollars could have been spent better elsewhere.

I'll ask you the same I've asked other people I've heard make that argument--where and on who?

Not that I am against the Berkman signing but if you are going to put a first baseman in the outfield I think Derrek Lee could have been got with the same money, offered better defense and hit about the same.  Magglio Ordonez would have likely cost more and might not have signed a one year deal but he would have been alot less risky of a move both in way of production and defense. 

This deal isnt much different and in many ways worst then what I suggested the Cardinals do last year when I said they should sign Vladimir Guerrero ( who signed in 2010 for 5.5 mill) or Jermaine Dye (who went unsigned) if Holliday wouldnt sign.     

I am happy with the signing because I dont think a platoon of Jay/Craig wouldnt have been a good move.  At least the club saw that and tried to do something about it. 

Another thing to look at is Berkman cost them a couple million more then keeping Ludwick would have.

Right now Cotts says that the Cardinals payroll is at 97 million.  That doesnt include Motte's, McClellan's or  Theriot arbitrated contract.  Also doesnt include the the min contracts of Rasmus, Boggs, Jay or Craig.  They still need a backup catcher and to extend Pujols  On the other hand it doesnt include defered money.  Sometime soon, when I have more time I try to see the true payroll at this time but I believe there is a sizable raise in payroll for 2011 already.

Last edited by APRTW (12/07/2010 10:27 am)

 

12/07/2010 10:43 am  #62


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

tkihshbt wrote:

Agreed. But given their recent track record of either sitting or giving unnecessary extensions, this is a nice change of page.

Where I would quibble is that this fits their track record of risking $5-7 million on a guy with serious questions about his ability to either get healthy or stay healthy.  The differences here are that he is not a pitcher and they have bumped their ceiling on risky gambles up to $8 million.

 

12/07/2010 10:50 am  #63


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

APRTW wrote:

Another thing to look at is Berkman cost them a couple million more then keeping Ludwick would have.

Strauss was quick to point that out.  I also noticed that Harang signed with the Padres for $4 million, making yet another back of the rotation starter who has signed for one year, for a lower annual salary than we are paying Westbrook. 

I confess that I wasn't reading the St. Louis sports journalists in 2005 as much as I am now, mostly just Gordon and Bernie.  So I don't know what the buzz sounded like around the time of the "Barton trade".  But one thing I notice now is that they seem ready to hold someone accountable if these moves don't work out within the next 12 months.

 

12/07/2010 11:18 am  #64


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

forsberg_us wrote:

I'll ask you the same I've asked other people I've heard make that argument--where and on who?

OK, I'll play. I'd make a hard push for Scott Downs, then I 'd throw a few bucks at Brad Hawpe. He's coming off a lousy year, but I'd be willing to gamble a platoon of Craig and Hawpe in RF will give you as much offense and certainly better defense than Berkman, who hasn't played in the OF regularly since 2004.
If Craig turns out to be the guy they hope he is at the plate, you still have a left-handed bat you can use off the bench and a late-inning defensive replacement. If Craig bombs, you've got a fallback who averaged about .290/25/90 in the four previous years and judging by his career splits wasn't a prototypical Coors Light hitter.
Can I get those two guys done for $8 million? I don't know. Let's say we'll give Downs the same contract the Tigers gave Benoit - 3 years at $16.5 million. That's $5.5 million per. You can probably get Hawpe on the cheap, and you might even have enough left over for a backup catcher.

 

12/07/2010 11:19 am  #65


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

APRTW wrote:

forsberg_us wrote:

artie_fufkin wrote:

"As far as defense in LF, wasn't Chris Duncan in LF when we won in 2006?"

Preston Wilson played a lot of LF in the post-season.
Color me among the crowd that doesn't get this. Signing Berkman, that is. Eight million dollars could have been spent better elsewhere.

I'll ask you the same I've asked other people I've heard make that argument--where and on who?

Not that I am against the Berkman signing but if you are going to put a first baseman in the outfield I think Derrek Lee could have been got with the same money, offered better defense and hit about the same.  Magglio Ordonez would have likely cost more and might not have signed a one year deal but he would have been alot less risky of a move both in way of production and defense. 

This deal isnt much different and in many ways worst then what I suggested the Cardinals do last year when I said they should sign Vladimir Guerrero ( who signed in 2010 for 5.5 mill) or Jermaine Dye (who went unsigned) if Holliday wouldnt sign.     

I am happy with the signing because I dont think a platoon of Jay/Craig wouldnt have been a good move.  At least the club saw that and tried to do something about it. 

Another thing to look at is Berkman cost them a couple million more then keeping Ludwick would have.

Right now Cotts says that the Cardinals payroll is at 97 million.  That doesnt include Motte's, McClellan's or  Theriot arbitrated contract.  Also doesnt include the the min contracts of Rasmus, Boggs, Jay or Craig.  They still need a backup catcher and to extend Pujols  On the other hand it doesnt include defered money.  Sometime soon, when I have more time I try to see the true payroll at this time but I believe there is a sizable raise in payroll for 2011 already.

In all fairness, Berkman has played the outfield in the past.  Lee has never played the outfield.  Apparently Berkman expressed a willingness to move back to the outfield last season while with Houston because of issues with Carlos Lee.

One aspect of player movement that none of us will ever appreciate or understand is the impact of player familiarity/comfort and the role it plays in where a player signs.  Javier Vasquez is a perfect example.  He wants to play somewhere that allows him to make quick trips to/from Puerto Rico.  My point is, do we even know if someone like Guerrero or Dye would have even considered coming to the National League after years in the AL.  We do know that Berkman chose St. Louis over a 2 year deal with Oakland to return to the NL Central.  It isn't out of the question that some players we think of as "good fits" may never even give St. Louis a second thought.

I brought up the Ludwick issue back when Berkman signed, but the more I think about it, the more I'd rather have Berkman.  The offense was hugely inconsistent last season, even with Ludwick in the lineup.  Ludwick is a streaky hitter who strikes out a lot.  I think a high OBP guy with an ability to strike out less presents a significant upgrade to the offense.  For what it's worth, Berkman played almost the same number of games the last 2 seasons as did Ludwick (albeit at first base).

 

12/07/2010 11:23 am  #66


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

Max wrote:

APRTW wrote:

Another thing to look at is Berkman cost them a couple million more then keeping Ludwick would have.

Strauss was quick to point that out.  I also noticed that Harang signed with the Padres for $4 million, making yet another back of the rotation starter who has signed for one year, for a lower annual salary than we are paying Westbrook.

Max, have you looked at Aaron Harang's numbers the last 3 seasons?  18-38 with an ERA pushing 5.  There's a reason he's making less money than Westbrook.  Harang = Cement-head.

 

12/07/2010 11:23 am  #67


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

"I also noticed that Harang signed with the Padres for $4 million, making yet another back of the rotation starter who has signed for one year, for a lower annual salary than we are paying Westbrook."

Harang is 18-38 in the past three years, and his WHIP and BAA have gotten progressively worse in each of them.  The Padres are just throwing darts at the wall blindfolded.

 

12/07/2010 11:32 am  #68


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

artie_fufkin wrote:

forsberg_us wrote:

I'll ask you the same I've asked other people I've heard make that argument--where and on who?

OK, I'll play. I'd make a hard push for Scott Downs, then I 'd throw a few bucks at Brad Hawpe. He's coming off a lousy year, but I'd be willing to gamble a platoon of Craig and Hawpe in RF will give you as much offense and certainly better defense than Berkman, who hasn't played in the OF regularly since 2004.
If Craig turns out to be the guy they hope he is at the plate, you still have a left-handed bat you can use off the bench and a late-inning defensive replacement. If Craig bombs, you've got a fallback who averaged about .290/25/90 in the four previous years and judging by his career splits wasn't a prototypical Coors Light hitter.
Can I get those two guys done for $8 million? I don't know. Let's say we'll give Downs the same contract the Tigers gave Benoit - 3 years at $16.5 million. That's $5.5 million per. You can probably get Hawpe on the cheap, and you might even have enough left over for a backup catcher.

Fair enough, but you're asking for a philosophical shift among the front office and management.  The Cardinals have never paid a set-up guy anywhere near that much money.  I would seriously doubt that they even gave Scott Downs a second thought.

Hawpe is intriguing, and I think I suggested taking a gamble with him last season after he was released.  But I'd love to hear some theories as to why he tanked last season.  At least we can attribute Berkman's 2010 season to injury.  I never heard a reason for Hawpe's sudden decline.

 

12/07/2010 11:37 am  #69


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

"I'd love to hear some theories as to why he tanked last season."

Tito Landrum got his wife pregnant?

 

12/07/2010 11:40 am  #70


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

Darth and Fors are both right: the money could have been better spent (I think so anyway), but doing so would mean a philosophical shift that La Russa was not going to accept. Not being privy to the discussions between the two sides before they negotiated, I'm guessing "I get to keep Schumaker at second, build my own bench and do weird experiments in the outfield if Alabama Slammer sticks around" came up.

Berkman is a pure La Russa move, one that I can get behind right now, but that money wasn't going to be spent in better ways unless a new manager was in the dugout.

     Thread Starter
 

12/07/2010 11:58 am  #71


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

It is really splitting hairs to say that Berkman is worst then any other option.  I take the Cardinals signing him over there normal idea of doing nothing.  If he starts 100 games and is a high OBP player he will be worth 8 million. 

It is impossible to tell what players want to be here or dont.  We cant really factor that in as fans because we simply dont know or have anyway of knowing.

 

12/07/2010 12:01 pm  #72


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

Is anyone else really worried that they seem to be willing to enter 2011 with Freese and Craig as the only 2 players able to play 3rd?

 

12/07/2010 12:05 pm  #73


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

APRTW wrote:

Is anyone else really worried that they seem to be willing to enter 2011 with Freese and Craig as the only 2 players able to play 3rd?

Tyler Greene and Descalso both played 3rd last season.  One or both will be on the bench.

 

12/07/2010 12:29 pm  #74


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

So the 25 man looks as follows right now?

1B Pujols - 14mill
2B Skip - 2.7mill
SS Theriot - 3mill
3rd Freese - .5mill
C Molina - 5.3mill
LF Berkman - 8mill
CF Rasmus - .5mill
RF Holliday - 15mill

2B/SS/3B Greene - .5mill
2B/SS/3B Descalso - .5mill
LF/RF/3B Craig - .5mill
LF/RF/CF Jay - .5mill
C Anderson - .5mill

SP Carp - 13mill
SP Wainwright - 6.5mill
SP Garcia - .5mill
SP Westbrook - 8mill
SP Loshe - 11.9 mill

C Franklin - 3.3mill
SU McCellan - .5mill
SU Motte - .5mill
SU Salas - .5mill
LS Miller - 2mill
LS Tallet - .8mill
LR Boggs - .5mill

With some rounding, assuming Pujols contract stays the same, Anderson get the backup catcher spot, arbitration guess, subtracting defered money and Ryan is traded the payroll is 99.5.

Last edited by APRTW (12/07/2010 12:34 pm)

 

12/07/2010 12:37 pm  #75


Re: Cards Sign Berkman

"you're asking for a philosophical shift among the front office and management.  The Cardinals have never paid a set-up guy anywhere near that much money.  I would seriously doubt that they even gave Scott Downs a second thought."

My organizational philosophy also wouldn't have included wasting a roster spot on a Lawn Gnome for four of the past five years.

Last edited by artie_fufkin (12/07/2010 12:37 pm)

 

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