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7/12/2011 11:08 am  #1


The Wizard of Moz speaks!

another timely, well-written piece by Strauss.  Reading between the lines I hear, If we can get a really good starter, we can move McClellan to the pen and fill a hole there.  If we get a really good closer we can move Salas to the 8th inning and remove our fear factor of using a near-rookie in the closer role.  Still no idea WTF we're gonna do about a lefty.

"In the next three weeks the club hopes to move aggressively to acquire one, perhaps two pitchers to shore up the back end of its starting rotation or to provide more order in a bullpen that has undergone four months of renovation. . . . The question isn't whether Mozeliak will swing a deal but rather in which direction he will go. The Cardinals have needs in their rotation, the eighth inning, the lefthanded side of their bullpen and middle defense. It is unlikely every deficiency can be addressed via trade; however, the right acquisition could allow parts already in place to be repositioned."

"Mozeliak might possess the most powerful trade chip among the four NL Central contenders: Rasmus. . . . Now, with Rasmus on the cusp of arbitration and showing only halting development, the organization might reconsider its stance.


Read more: http://www.stltoday.com/sports/baseball/professional/article_ee62b501-e087-5f4c-95af-4100a8c47d46.html#ixzz1RuL7M3UA

Last edited by Max (7/12/2011 11:09 am)

 

7/12/2011 12:06 pm  #2


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

I wouldnt dissmiss that Rasmus trade talks.  If they could get a pile of pitching it would be an interesting idea.

 

7/12/2011 1:04 pm  #3


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

Well, now that I see how seriously Rasmus is being dumped upon, I feel kind of bad for him.  Just look at the photo in this article.  Water-cooler talk is Jay or Rasmus in CF, and the talk of Rasmus getting traded is much different than less season when it was more or less a non-starter.  Also ironic to note that Jeff Gordon could be cribbing from Fors.


http://www.stltoday.com/sports/columns/round-two/article_be1bb946-abde-11e0-a6c7-001a4bcf6878.html

Last edited by Max (7/12/2011 1:04 pm)

     Thread Starter
 

7/12/2011 1:06 pm  #4


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

To take that a bit further:

TK is Rick Hummel
Max is Bryan Burwell (definitely indicates an interest in probing deeply into the sausage making machinery).

     Thread Starter
 

7/12/2011 2:51 pm  #5


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

Mozeliak said today on KFNS that Rasmus isn't going to be traded this season. We'll see.

 

7/12/2011 3:23 pm  #6


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

To add on:

I think Mozeliak is bluffing and Rasmus is being shopped, but I don't think they let him go for just anything. At least I hope not. Wade Davis does not make this team a pennant winner. James Shields does. Jeremy Hellickson gives them a scary-deep rotation at least next year. But I don't think Tampa parts with either one for Rasmus.

Also, if Tampa is really the team targeting Rasmus, maybe that should tell the Cardinals something? I dunno, but the Rays have one of the best scouting departments in baseball and if they like him, maybe he isn't hopeless yet.

 

7/12/2011 4:18 pm  #7


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

"James Shields does. Jeremy Hellickson gives them a scary-deep rotation at least next year. But I don't think Tampa parts with either one for Rasmus."

I had the same thoughts.  I'm not sure they'd target Shields because of cost.  Hellickson would be very intriguing.

 

7/12/2011 4:33 pm  #8


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

Probably wouldn't be great for Rasmus's concentration if Moz said, "sure, if the right deal came along we'd send Rasmus on his merry way," so I tend to think you're right about that, TK.

     Thread Starter
 

7/12/2011 4:52 pm  #9


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

Obviously, a deal with the Rays depends upon how happy they are with their situation with Upton. Shields is at the top of the Bell curve right now, and Hellickson is cheap and has a ton of upside. I agree I'm not sure Wade Davis gets it done for the Cardinals.
If history is a guide, I think we're probably looking at a young non-regular (Jay? Craig, when he's well?) for a veteran with a mid-to-high range salary who is underachieving and could be one of Duncan's reclaimation projects.
Ryan Dempster, anyone?

 

7/12/2011 5:55 pm  #10


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

FWIW: Yahoo is featuring a fan opinion that "now is time to trade Upton".

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ycn-8791127

Also, Shields is only earning $4.25 m, so he's not expensive this year, but I don't understand yet why we think the Rays would want to part with him.  Is there an impending free agency issue?  But the Rays are only 6 games back.

     Thread Starter
 

7/12/2011 7:46 pm  #11


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

Max wrote:

FWIW: Yahoo is featuring a fan opinion that "now is time to trade Upton".

http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=ycn-8791127

Also, Shields is only earning $4.25 m, so he's not expensive this year, but I don't understand yet why we think the Rays would want to part with him.  Is there an impending free agency issue?  But the Rays are only 6 games back.

It's an unusual contract with team buyouts the next three years. I'm guessing you're correct. It would really take a big offer to pry Shields loose.

 

7/12/2011 8:41 pm  #12


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

Price wouldn't be an issue this season, but I think his option for next season at like $8-9M. Shields will be worth it, But I don't see the Cardinals paying that kind of money.

But, as you said, I don't think Shields gets moved. I suspect they'd offer someone like Davis or Niemann.

 

7/12/2011 10:02 pm  #13


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

"Price wouldn't be an issue this season, but I think his option for next season at like $8-9M.

I had to read this about three times before I figured out you weren't referring to David.
It's been a long week so far ...

 

7/12/2011 10:43 pm  #14


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

artie_fufkin wrote:

"Price wouldn't be an issue this season, but I think his option for next season at like $8-9M.

I had to read this about three times before I figured out you weren't referring to David.
It's been a long week so far ...

LOL.  Sorry.  How about, "The cost for Shields..."

And it isn't as bad as I thought.  $7M in 2012, $9M in 2013 and $12M in 2014.  I doubt he's going anywhere.

Last edited by forsberg_us (7/12/2011 10:45 pm)

 

7/12/2011 10:46 pm  #15


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

forsberg_us wrote:

artie_fufkin wrote:

"Price wouldn't be an issue this season, but I think his option for next season at like $8-9M.

I had to read this about three times before I figured out you weren't referring to David.
It's been a long week so far ...

LOL.  Sorry.  How about, "The cost for Shields..."

If people on this board are going to have to start making allowances for my brain cramps, the only posts left are going to be AP's links to photos of morbidly obese women in lingerie.

 

7/12/2011 11:12 pm  #16


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

artie_fufkin wrote:

Obviously, a deal with the Rays depends upon how happy they are with their situation with Upton. Shields is at the top of the Bell curve right now, and Hellickson is cheap and has a ton of upside. I agree I'm not sure Wade Davis gets it done for the Cardinals.
If history is a guide, I think we're probably looking at a young non-regular (Jay? Craig, when he's well?) for a veteran with a mid-to-high range salary who is underachieving and could be one of Duncan's reclaimation projects.
Ryan Dempster, anyone?

I would take Dempster over Mccellan.  If they deal Rasmus I would like to see them do it in a manner that sets them up for years to come.  Kind of like the Drew trade.  We are still seeing the fruits of that trade and that was 8 years ago.  Whoever they could get for Rasmus doesnt have to make the team better this year.  It would be nice to get alittle of everything.  Help for the 2011 team and a piece for the system.

 

7/12/2011 11:15 pm  #17


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

artie_fufkin wrote:

forsberg_us wrote:

artie_fufkin wrote:

"Price wouldn't be an issue this season, but I think his option for next season at like $8-9M.

I had to read this about three times before I figured out you weren't referring to David.
It's been a long week so far ...

LOL.  Sorry.  How about, "The cost for Shields..."

If people on this board are going to have to start making allowances for my brain cramps, the only posts left are going to be AP's links to photos of morbidly obese women in lingerie.

The nice thing about this board is I can post the picture directly on it.

 

7/12/2011 11:21 pm  #18


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

"The nice thing about this board is I can post the picture directly on it."

Please don't.

 

7/13/2011 8:27 am  #19


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

"If they deal Rasmus I would like to see them do it in a manner that sets them up for years to come.  Kind of like the Drew trade."

You'd probably have to throw in a starting pitcher to reap that kind of return. I think the Cubs would probably give away Dempster to whomever agreed to pay him the rest of the way.
The good thing about Dempster is he's got experience in the bullpen. Without looking too far ahead, the playoff rotation is probably going to be Carpenter, Garcia and whichever pitcher performs the best over the last two months. If it's not McClellan, then you can move him back to his setup role in front of the closer, whoever it may be.
I still like the idea of Heath Bell a little bit better. You hate to give up a lot for a closer, but it's hard to win a championship without a good one.

 

7/13/2011 8:48 am  #20


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

artie_fufkin wrote:

"If they deal Rasmus I would like to see them do it in a manner that sets them up for years to come.  Kind of like the Drew trade."

You'd probably have to throw in a starting pitcher to reap that kind of return. I think the Cubs would probably give away Dempster to whomever agreed to pay him the rest of the way.
The good thing about Dempster is he's got experience in the bullpen. Without looking too far ahead, the playoff rotation is probably going to be Carpenter, Garcia and whichever pitcher performs the best over the last two months. If it's not McClellan, then you can move him back to his setup role in front of the closer, whoever it may be.
I still like the idea of Heath Bell a little bit better. You hate to give up a lot for a closer, but it's hard to win a championship without a good one.

I think Lynn would be an interesting person to package in a deal.  He has showed enough to interest some teams.

 

7/13/2011 9:50 am  #21


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

artie_fufkin wrote:

"If they deal Rasmus I would like to see them do it in a manner that sets them up for years to come.  Kind of like the Drew trade."

You'd probably have to throw in a starting pitcher to reap that kind of return. I think the Cubs would probably give away Dempster to whomever agreed to pay him the rest of the way.
The good thing about Dempster is he's got experience in the bullpen. Without looking too far ahead, the playoff rotation is probably going to be Carpenter, Garcia and whichever pitcher performs the best over the last two months. If it's not McClellan, then you can move him back to his setup role in front of the closer, whoever it may be.
I still like the idea of Heath Bell a little bit better. You hate to give up a lot for a closer, but it's hard to win a championship without a good one.

Why would the Cubs trade Dempster within the NLC if other options presented themselves?

     Thread Starter
 

7/13/2011 9:53 am  #22


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

If the Mets are gonna have a fire sale, would they let Santana go and would anyone want him, given his shoulder and contract?

     Thread Starter
 

7/13/2011 10:52 am  #23


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

"Why would the Cubs trade Dempster within the NLC if other options presented themselves?"

They probably wouldn't, and I haven't heard any rumors to that effect, but I'm guessing they'd love to dump his salary, and wouldn't be overly particular to whom at a certain point.
I believe this is what's known as random speculation, which would be a first in the history of baseball.

 

7/13/2011 10:56 am  #24


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

Max wrote:

If the Mets are gonna have a fire sale, would they let Santana go and would anyone want him, given his shoulder and contract?

Last I heard, which was at the beginning of the season, was that he could be available on or around Aug. 1.
You'd have to commit $50 million over the next two years, plus with his no-trade clause he'd probably insist on whoever deals for him pick up his $25 million option for 2014.
Does that seem like something DeWallet would even remotely consider?

 

7/13/2011 11:01 am  #25


Re: The Wizard of Moz speaks!

From NorthJersey.com:

July 11 - As the Mets finish the first half of the season, Johan Santana may have finished the second stage of his rehabilitation. The last part, the equivalent of spring training, is expected to begin today.

"There’s no real precision here as we’ve learned in a number of instances already this season with respect to injuries," Mets GM Sandy Alderson said. "But I think we’re very encouraged that he’s been throwing bullpens and has felt great immediately after, and days after, so I think we’re going to re-evaluate where he is over the next several days to try and get something more definitive, but very encouraging with Johan."

The next step for Santana is to advance to a three-days-a-week throwing program, live batting practice and finally minor league rehab games. But Alderson cautioned not to expect too much from the left-hander this season.

"Some people have been thinking of spring training as March 1 to March 31, actually pitching in games," Alderson said. "Others have thought of it in terms of the six weeks, pitchers and catchers, etc., so we’ll try to get a little more precise over the next week or so. So I said a few days ago, we’re not looking for Johan to ride in here and be a major factor in this season."

 

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