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11/15/2012 7:53 pm  #176


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

artie_fufkin wrote:

I also recall Kennedy groused about playing time and asked to be traded after the 2008 season. The Cardinals released him when they were unable to find a taker for a second baseman with an OPS under .700 who couldn't beat out Aaron Miles.

exactly.  he had a hand in his departure.

 

11/15/2012 8:00 pm  #177


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

APIAD wrote:

Max wrote:

That really depends, AP.  Let's say Kennedy is due $10 M over 3 years and the team notices right away there's a problem.  Some investigation turns up evidence that Kennedy is having marital problems, which may be affecting his play.  Opening day payroll was $90M, and the next season it was $99M, so let's assume they had $9M to play with.  In 2007, we finished 78-84, 7 games back with a -104 run differential.  2B was a clear minus, offensively, compared to league average.  If an option was there, would the team have been better off committing some or all of that $9M to be competitive in 2007?  People like KC were doing the math back then, and the difference in revenue is huge.  That is, DeWitt stood to earn much more money if there was a way to economically fix the problem at 2B (and whatever else ailed them in '07 . . . no Carpenter?).

Fors's point has long been: "OK, even if I concede the point, how would you have spent the money?"  To that I obviously do not have a good answer.  It is possible that no good options were available.  It is also possible that the team chose to play it cheaply.

How does any of that have anything to do with them releasing Kennedy.  That opens up a roster space but doesnt create more money.  And clearly they wouldnt have singed Kennedy to start with if they didnt think he was the best option.  You still havent told me one thing, when should they have released him?  After a week?  A month?  You know players get off to slow start.  they also have bad years.  Why would a club burn a contract everytime someone has a poor year?

To be competitive, now. 

AP, there are more ways than one to eat a contract, and i answered the other question several times.

Dunno.  Look to Junior Spivey for one example: he sucked and he didn't make it to opening day.  Look to Anderson for another: a better option became available and they gave him a support role.  My hunch is that another team, where competitiveness is critical, might have looked for fixes before the trade deadline.  Even so, my point all along has been that the Cards do not eat contracts that large (though implied in that is that other teams do).  By itself that doesn't mean they should or shouldn't have eaten any one single contract.  Rather, as a rule, they don't seem willing to acknowledge a waste that large.  Thus, although I am not expecting Furcal to be a plus next year, I don't see them acquiring someone who would start in front of him.

 

11/15/2012 8:12 pm  #178


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

APIAD wrote:

The signing of Kennedy wasnt a mistake.

That's a slightly different argument, and this can go around in circles, as it has with, for example, the Lohse signing.  I defended that consistently from day one (literally) as a good signing, even when it looked pretty bad when Lohse was injured.

I am a bit ambivalent on Kennedy.  I use that as an example of the size of a contract that the Cards won't eat, it crosses the threshold.  He wasn't effective in year one and the Cards were not competitive.  Of course, money might not have been the only reason they didn't find a replacement within that first season.  I just attach a name to the concept "an Adam Kennedy sized contract", partly because there was definitely fan dissatisfaction at that time.  And FWIW, I don't consider eating the third year of a three year contract as eating the contract, it's eating a part for sure, one year and $4 M (according to Fors).  So, the threshold of what they will eat and won't eat is somewhere between $4M/1 and $10M/3, and as others have pointed out, the years might be an important factor, in addition to the money, lest they gain the reputation of screwing players over.

Now, to open another can of worms, I think that whatever goodwill the organization generated during the La Russa years was largely exhausted with the Pujols fiasco.  I am guessing that hurt the organizations ability to retain players and attract free agents, to a much greater degree than anything they might have done to Adam Kennedy.

 

11/15/2012 8:31 pm  #179


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

Spivey didnt have the track record Kennedy does.  Look at there careers.  That alone should tell you comparing the two is not valid.  Your comparison was the cubs and red sox would eat contracts and raise payroll to make up for their mistakes.  How long did the Cubs hold onto Zambrano, Sosa and Milton fucking Bradely?  Id like to know one team that released a player the same year they signed them to a three year contract.

 

11/15/2012 9:27 pm  #180


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

Max wrote:

forsberg_us wrote:

I guess all I was saying was that as someone who had watched the show, I think if I happened to encounter her on the street, I probably would have recognized her.

not sure why this reminds me, but my nephew/cousin's schoolhood friend is dating Jennifer Anniston.

On my behalf, can you please ask your nephew/cousin's schoolhood friend to please ask Jenn to STOP TAKING ROLES IN AWFUL ROMANTIC COMEDIES THAT MY WIFE INSISTS ON WATCHING?
Thanks in advance.

 

11/15/2012 9:29 pm  #181


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

"Now, to open another can of worms, I think that whatever goodwill the organization generated during the La Russa years was largely exhausted with the Pujols fiasco.  I am guessing that hurt the organizations ability to retain players and attract free agents, to a much greater degree than anything they might have done to Adam Kennedy."

Of course you do. Of course you have no evidence to support the statement, and I'm sure you'll have some bullshit theory to explain how Furcal re-signing, Beltran signing and how Molina and Westbrook extending their contracts don't disprove your statement.

The team reached Game 7 of the NLCS without Pujol$. The organization's standing around MLB is just fine. In fact, it's probably at an all-time high.

http://www.twincities.com/twins/ci_21791274/st-louis-cardinals-resilient-team-thrives-without-pujols

http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mlb-big-league-stew/cardinals-fans-seem-happy-albert-pujols-won-t-204011819--mlb.html

http://dallas.sbnation.com/texas-rangers/2012/10/24/3546220/albert-pujols-st-louis-cardinals


http://articles.latimes.com/2012/oct/19/sports/la-sp-1019-giants-cardinals-notes-20121019

Even Larussa came out and said he wouldn't have given Pujols 10 years.

http://articles.latimes.com/2012/oct/19/sports/la-sp-1019-giants-cardinals-notes-20121019

Please feel free to enlighten us with a story supporting your claim.

 

11/15/2012 9:45 pm  #182


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

"Rather, as a rule, they don't seem willing to acknowledge a waste that large."

Well, the Cardinals aren't alone in that realm. If they could, they would have given Pujols what he wanted three or four years ago and lived with his declining performance. There's only one team that really can and does eat huge salaries consistently. Kevin Brown doesn't work out? Let's go get Jaret Wright? That doesn't work? Go get Carl Pavano? Pavano is a sissy? Let's bring Roger Clemens back. Those were all eight figure deals. They even way overpay for the players they have. ARod can re-negotiate? Give him what he wants. Jeter? He's the captain. Let's throw another bushel of money at him to keep him in pinstripes.
Someone mentioned the Red Sox dumping Manny Ramirez, but it was under the condition the Dodgers would pay him for the rest of the season. Same with the trade they made to the Dodgers last year. Look at the trouble the Cubs have put themselves in by signing players to shitty contracts they have to dump later. How'd you like to be looking at the Phillies' payroll the next few years?

Last edited by artie_fufkin (11/15/2012 9:46 pm)

 

11/15/2012 9:51 pm  #183


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

"Now, to open another can of worms, I think that whatever goodwill the organization generated during the La Russa years was largely exhausted with the Pujols fiasco."

You're reading the tea leaves wrong, Max. Way wrong. In fact, I'd suggest the Cardinals' stature as a franchise has been enhanced because they were one game away from the World Series after they let Pujols go. If there was a fiasco, it was created by Pujols and his wife. All the Cardinals did was thank Pujols for his time with them, stand back and let the two of them flap their gums.

Last edited by artie_fufkin (11/15/2012 9:53 pm)

 

11/16/2012 11:41 am  #184


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

artie_fufkin wrote:

Max wrote:

forsberg_us wrote:

I guess all I was saying was that as someone who had watched the show, I think if I happened to encounter her on the street, I probably would have recognized her.

not sure why this reminds me, but my nephew/cousin's schoolhood friend is dating Jennifer Anniston.

On my behalf, can you please ask your nephew/cousin's schoolhood friend to please ask Jenn to STOP TAKING ROLES IN AWFUL ROMANTIC COMEDIES THAT MY WIFE INSISTS ON WATCHING?
Thanks in advance.

Or at least show her boobies.

 

11/16/2012 12:03 pm  #185


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

APIAD wrote:

Id like to know one team that released a player the same year they signed them to a three year contract.

There are other ways to eat a contract.  You can hire someone else to do that person's job. 

But all of this is really tangential to the point that there is a threshold, whether in terms of money or years, where teams are loathe to admit a mistake and to seek other solutions.  A more relevant debate would be whether such a threshold exists, or whether it is purely idiosyncratic from one case to the next.  My hunch is that it is a bit of both.

 

11/16/2012 12:09 pm  #186


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

artie_fufkin wrote:

"Now, to open another can of worms, I think that whatever goodwill the organization generated during the La Russa years was largely exhausted with the Pujols fiasco."

You're reading the tea leaves wrong, Max. Way wrong.

That's possible.  In response to both you and Fors I'll say that the issue with FO credibility came in the period of, say 2009/10 until their rejected offer prior to the 2011 season.  Everything that happened thereafter was a predictable shit-storm.

 

11/16/2012 12:31 pm  #187


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

"A more relevant debate would be whether such a threshold exists, or whether it is purely idiosyncratic from one case to the next.  My hunch is that it is a bit of both."

The threshold is proportional to the terms of the contract, and the player's history. If Pujols stinks like manure in the first month after you sign him to a 10-year, 9-figure deal, you're willing to take a chance his numbers will revert to his norm. If Bobby Abreu with shorter dollars and years has the same type of month, you cut him.

 

11/16/2012 12:39 pm  #188


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

"Everything that happened thereafter was a predictable shit-storm."

By the shit only rained from one side of the front. Whatever their position was during the negotiations, the Cardinals didn't go out and bad-mouth him in the press after he left.
As opposed to the Pujols' camp, which at first attributed his move to Anaheim to divine intervention, subjected themselves to Arte Moreno's dog-and-pony show on national TV, and then reacted angrily when there was backlash toward all of it.

 

11/16/2012 1:12 pm  #189


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

artie_fufkin wrote:

As opposed to the Pujols' camp, which at first attributed his move to Anaheim to divine intervention, subjected themselves to Arte Moreno's dog-and-pony show on national TV, and then reacted angrily when there was backlash toward all of it.

Yeah, I think it still sticks in their craw that people didn't immediately come to their side because he still remains awfully active in St. Louis.

     Thread Starter
 

11/16/2012 5:57 pm  #190


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

tkihshbt wrote:

artie_fufkin wrote:

As opposed to the Pujols' camp, which at first attributed his move to Anaheim to divine intervention, subjected themselves to Arte Moreno's dog-and-pony show on national TV, and then reacted angrily when there was backlash toward all of it.

Yeah, I think it still sticks in their craw that people didn't immediately come to their side because he still remains awfully active in St. Louis.

It comes back to that comment Albert made (after the 2007 season?) about being more interested in championships than money and the whole "Cardinal-for-life" thing. DeWitt won the public relations war at that point. He could have offered Albert minimum wage and if Pujols went elsewhere, Albert would have looked like a hypocrite. Pujols could have kept his mouth shut or said something like "My first preference is to remain in St. Louis ..." and it's unlikely people would have reacted to his departure by burning their replica Pujols jerseys.

 

11/16/2012 6:27 pm  #191


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

artie_fufkin wrote:

tkihshbt wrote:

artie_fufkin wrote:

As opposed to the Pujols' camp, which at first attributed his move to Anaheim to divine intervention, subjected themselves to Arte Moreno's dog-and-pony show on national TV, and then reacted angrily when there was backlash toward all of it.

Yeah, I think it still sticks in their craw that people didn't immediately come to their side because he still remains awfully active in St. Louis.

It comes back to that comment Albert made (after the 2007 season?) about being more interested in championships than money and the whole "Cardinal-for-life" thing. DeWitt won the public relations war at that point. He could have offered Albert minimum wage and if Pujols went elsewhere, Albert would have looked like a hypocrite. Pujols could have kept his mouth shut or said something like "My first preference is to remain in St. Louis ..." and it's unlikely people would have reacted to his departure by burning their replica Pujols jerseys.

I don't know about minimum wage, but once it became public that the Cardinals made a 10 year offer for more than $200M, DeWitt was in the driver's seat. 

After the decision, there's no question the best thing DeWitt had going for him was Didi Pujols.

 

11/16/2012 7:14 pm  #192


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

tkihshbt wrote:

artie_fufkin wrote:

As opposed to the Pujols' camp, which at first attributed his move to Anaheim to divine intervention, subjected themselves to Arte Moreno's dog-and-pony show on national TV, and then reacted angrily when there was backlash toward all of it.

Yeah, I think it still sticks in their craw that people didn't immediately come to their side because he still remains awfully active in St. Louis.

Pujols does?

 

11/16/2012 8:32 pm  #193


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

artie_fufkin wrote:

"Everything that happened thereafter was a predictable shit-storm."

By the shit only rained from one side of the front. Whatever their position was during the negotiations, the Cardinals didn't go out and bad-mouth him in the press after he left.
As opposed to the Pujols' camp, which at first attributed his move to Anaheim to divine intervention, subjected themselves to Arte Moreno's dog-and-pony show on national TV, and then reacted angrily when there was backlash toward all of it.

Please just confirm for me that we are all fully aware of the power of a PR campaign, that the Cards FO had it, and that the Pujols--inexplicably--did not.

 

11/16/2012 8:43 pm  #194


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

tkihshbt wrote:

artie_fufkin wrote:

As opposed to the Pujols' camp, which at first attributed his move to Anaheim to divine intervention, subjected themselves to Arte Moreno's dog-and-pony show on national TV, and then reacted angrily when there was backlash toward all of it.

Yeah, I think it still sticks in their craw that people didn't immediately come to their side because he still remains awfully active in St. Louis.

"their" meaning the Pujols?  My God they were chumps in the face of the PR campaign that had been working against them for several years.  Reminds me of a series of books you probably haven't read, as regards the power of the powers that be.

Honest to God, what was the problem with Pujols attitude, prior to October 2011?  He repeatedly stated his desire to be a Cardinal for life, he said money was not the most important thing, and finally said something like" what am I supposed to do, hold a gun to their head and force them to offer me contract?"  Recall that despite the Cards FO statements about extending Cards and ideal times, they didn't even present an offer until they gave him a last minute lowball offer just prior to Pujols's self-imposed deadline of ST 2011.  Of course he felt fucking dissed, used, played . . . who wouldn't have???

 

11/16/2012 8:46 pm  #195


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

artie_fufkin wrote:

"A more relevant debate would be whether such a threshold exists, or whether it is purely idiosyncratic from one case to the next.  My hunch is that it is a bit of both."

The threshold is proportional to the terms of the contract, and the player's history. . . .

Yes, I agree.  Somehow asserting that the Cards do not eat an Adam Kennedy sized contract ($10M/3) became controversial for all sorts of reasons.  I suspect that the core reason is that, after long badgering from KC and others (who no longer post), I reversed by position on DeWitt.

 

11/16/2012 8:48 pm  #196


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

artie_fufkin wrote:

It comes back to that comment Albert made (after the 2007 season?) about being more interested in championships than money and the whole "Cardinal-for-life" thing. DeWitt won the public relations war at that point. He could have offered Albert minimum wage and if Pujols went elsewhere, Albert would have looked like a hypocrite. Pujols could have kept his mouth shut or said something like "My first preference is to remain in St. Louis ..." and it's unlikely people would have reacted to his departure by burning their replica Pujols jerseys.

Bingo.  And frankly, I suspect DeWitt of being savvy enough that he was already weighing the pros and cons of extending Pujols.  Hell, Fors even said they hired a firm to investigate the financial implications.

 

11/16/2012 8:51 pm  #197


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

forsberg_us wrote:

artie_fufkin wrote:

tkihshbt wrote:


Yeah, I think it still sticks in their craw that people didn't immediately come to their side because he still remains awfully active in St. Louis.

It comes back to that comment Albert made (after the 2007 season?) about being more interested in championships than money and the whole "Cardinal-for-life" thing. DeWitt won the public relations war at that point. He could have offered Albert minimum wage and if Pujols went elsewhere, Albert would have looked like a hypocrite. Pujols could have kept his mouth shut or said something like "My first preference is to remain in St. Louis ..." and it's unlikely people would have reacted to his departure by burning their replica Pujols jerseys.

I don't know about minimum wage, but once it became public that the Cardinals made a 10 year offer for more than $200M, DeWitt was in the driver's seat. 

After the decision, there's no question the best thing DeWitt had going for him was Didi Pujols.

That's your take, Fors.  Mine is that by the time they made that last minute offer the damage had been done.  It was not serious offer to be taken, it was a PR move designed to insulate BDW JR III from the ramifications of letting Pujols walk . . . indeed, very similar to your own take: it put DeWitt "in the driver's seat."

 

11/16/2012 10:11 pm  #198


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

The simple fact Max is that none of it matters. Dewitt made an offer than fans viewed as more than reasonable. Pujols didn't see it that way and accepted the Angels contract. Fans were pissed, but overall Pujols was losing the PR battle. Then Didi Pujols decided to open her mouth and pour gasoline on the flames.

From that moment, things couldn't have gone better for Dewitt if he had written the script himself. Moreno trotted Pujols out for a dog & pony show that pissed people off. Then Pujols got surly over Anaheim's El Hombre campaign. Then Pujols started the season hitting below .200, didn't hit a HR until May and the Angels fell out of contention. Pujols wasn't named to the AL All-Star team. Even when Pujols started playing better and the Angels surged, credit was given to Mike Trout, not Pujols. By the end of the season, Pujols had his worst statistical season for the 3rd year in a row, missed the playoffs and had off-season knee surgery. Meanwhile, a post-Larussa, post-Pujols Cardinals team made the playoffs and got to within a game of the World Series.

The Cardinals proved they could win without Pujols. Pujols played well overall, but looked like a player that no one in their right mind would want to be saddled with for the next 9 seasons. In St. Louis, fans are excited about players like Allen Craig, Yadi Molina, Oscar Taveras and a host of young flame throwers. In contrast, Pujols is irrelevant. He didn't even bother coming to his foundation's golf tournament in St. Louis (Holliday took the lead on the event) and he's been replaced by Trout as the face of the Angels.

Dewitt won. And it's killing you which is why we're having this discussion for the umpteenth time.

 

11/16/2012 10:18 pm  #199


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

forsberg_us wrote:

Dewitt won. And it's killing you which is why we're having this discussion for the umpteenth time.

Hitler won, too, measured over a narrowly defined stretch of time. 

You and I see things fairly similarly, Fors, I won't argue that.  One big difference is that you have a contact within the organization, have used the team's doctor, and frankly, your objectivity as regards the Cards FO is questionable in my appreciation.

 

11/16/2012 10:19 pm  #200


Re: Cardinals Hot Stove 2013

And let me agree with you that I would have been one of those who was galled to no end by Hitler's victory in the years 1933-1945.

 

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