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12/03/2012 6:21 pm  #76


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

forsberg_us wrote:

Max wrote:

forsberg_us wrote:

I'd say Ichiro must be operating with an inflated sense of self-worth.  Ichiro isn't anywhere near the kind of player that teams are going to be rushing out to sign.  I've read a couple of places that the Yankees are in hard on Nate Schierholz now that he's been non-tendered.  If they get a deal with Schierholz completed, they may not have any interest in Ichiro.

I've read a couple of times that Ichiro really wants to get to 3,000 hits in the states,  He needs 394 more.  He played pretty well for the Yankees, but overall his last 2 seasons have been pretty bad.  His OBP with Seattle last year was sub-.300.  And he better be ready to take a MASSIVE pay cut from the $18M he made last season.

Thanks.  That's more the conversation that I was trying to jump start. How do you say, "The Man" in Japanese?

No problem.  I just found it odd you started it in the Cardinals thread.  I thought you were suggesting we should be in on signing him.

As opposed to . . . Off-season Game Crap?  I guess I hadn't really been paying attention to where general FA stuff was being posted.  Ichiro and Pujols share a few career similarities: arriving in the majors the same year, both winning RoY, both put up unprecedentedly awesome offensive numbers over their first 10 seasons in MLB (covering the exact same years), both felt slighted during contract talks when it became clear their current team wasn't going to pay based on past performance.

There are obvious differences, such as Ichiro playing several season in Japan before coming to the majors, such that his career is just about over, and Pujols ultimately landing his payday, albeit not with the team he had hoped for.  Maybe it's just me, but I tend to draw a connection between the two, and reading that Ichiro felt dissed reminded me of Pujols, who didn't say it during negotiations, to my recollection, but who clearly felt it.

Last edited by Max (12/03/2012 6:22 pm)

 

12/03/2012 10:18 pm  #77


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

The winter meetings are in Nashville??? Were all the rooms in Providence booked?

 

12/03/2012 11:24 pm  #78


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

"As opposed to . . . Off-season Game Crap?"

Yeah, we're using that link for stuff involving the other teams.

"both felt slighted during contract talks when it became clear their current team wasn't going to pay based on past performance."

I think any player who expect to get paid on past performance is in for a rude awakening. I can't say I understand all of the advanced metrics, but all of the teams are using them and have hired people whose job it is to understand them. It's very much a "what have you done for me lately, what can you do for me in the future" business.

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12/04/2012 12:15 am  #79


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

"I think any player who expect to get paid on past performance is in for a rude awakening."

Do some degree I guess but there are still going to be bad contracts.  Pujols is the clear case for saying teams are still paying for past performance.  Ichiro is an old man.  I dont know why he would expect much.

 

12/04/2012 12:35 am  #80


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

Looks like the Cardinals winter meeting rumblings are Sean Burnett, Manny Parra, Mike Gonzalez and Scott Hairston.


I would lose Parra's number and I question why Hairson would want to play the role the Cardinals would ask of him.  He is coming off his best year and I worry that the Cardinals would have to over pay.

 

12/04/2012 12:37 am  #81


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

I think we're going to go through a stretch where we'll see fewer of them AP. A-Rod's deal is turning into a complete disaster. Think Cashman would like a do-over from the day A-Rod opted out of his first deal?

There are 3 other deals out there that I think will be telling. Pujols is one. The Reds signed Votto through age 41. Fielder's deal with Detroit doesn't take him into his 40s, but he's so out of shape, I'm curious to see how that one goes too.

We're seeing people sign extensions, but it seems the new trend is to stop at about age 36-37. That makes so much more sense.

It's sort of like when Mike Hampton, Denny Naegle and Kevin Brown signed those long deals and flopped. Pitchers stopped getting those deals for quite a while. I think these long, long deals have the potential to blow up and perhaps change some of the stupidity.

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12/04/2012 12:46 am  #82


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

Also some word that the Cardinals are interested in Drew and maybe trading Furcal or moving him to second.  I dont believe that for a second.

 

12/04/2012 10:00 am  #83


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

APIAD wrote:

Looks like the Cardinals winter meeting rumblings are Sean Burnett, Manny Parra, Mike Gonzalez and Scott Hairston.


I would lose Parra's number and I question why Hairson would want to play the role the Cardinals would ask of him.  He is coming off his best year and I worry that the Cardinals would have to over pay.

Burnett would be the priority out of that group, but he turned down a $3.5 million option from the Nats, so I'm guessing he's looking for about 2/$10m, which is more than the Cardinals are usually willing to pay for bullpen help.
I've always liked Gonzalez. I know he's had more surgeries than a Beverly Hills housewife, but when he's healthy and right, he's nasty.

 

12/04/2012 10:03 am  #84


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

"It's sort of like when Mike Hampton, Denny Naegle and Kevin Brown signed those long deals and flopped. Pitchers stopped getting those deals for quite a while."

Didn't Hampton and Neagle both sign those long-term deals with Colorado, pre-humidor? For a pitcher, that was the baseball equivalent of  buying a ticket on the Titanic.

 

12/04/2012 10:05 am  #85


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

APIAD wrote:

Also some word that the Cardinals are interested in Drew and maybe trading Furcal or moving him to second.  I dont believe that for a second.

It would be hard to wheel Furcal, unless I'm misreading the market for aging, injury-prone shortstops who may need Tommy John surgery.

 

12/04/2012 11:16 am  #86


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

artie_fufkin wrote:

APIAD wrote:

Also some word that the Cardinals are interested in Drew and maybe trading Furcal or moving him to second.  I dont believe that for a second.

It would be hard to wheel Furcal, unless I'm misreading the market for aging, injury-prone shortstops who may need Tommy John surgery.

It's a limited market.  In the realm of supply and demand, Furcal has the supply side of the equation cornered.

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12/04/2012 11:35 am  #87


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

I'll throw a name of potential interest into the mix.  What about Yunel Escobar?  He's reported to be a major headache, but he's a RH bat at SS, he's only owed $5M this season and there are club options for 2014 and 2015, both at $5M apiece.  He's 30, but he's a career .282/.353/.390 hitter who I seem to remember played decent defensively.  Miami just acquired him in their fire sale deal with Toronto and he's probably close to Miami's highest paid player left on the team.

The only thing I could see that would make him that appealing to Miami is that he's Cuban, which may play well to whatever fan base they have left, assuming he doesn't decide to throw a party in the parking lot celebrating Castro.

The only reason I mention him is because Olney mentioned Escobar as being potentially available via trade.  For the right price, that may not be a terrible fit for the Cardinals.

Last edited by forsberg_us (12/04/2012 11:36 am)

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12/04/2012 12:07 pm  #88


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

The Cardinals have a real issue on there hands at SS.  Nothing they do is going to completely fix it.  Drew is an unknown after his injuries.  Even if he came cheap he might not be an improvement over Furcal.  Escobar doesnt completely turn me off.  Any type of plan B is better then praying Furcal becomes the healthy.  Then there is second base.  The problem is more the same there.

 

12/04/2012 12:41 pm  #89


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

forsberg_us wrote:

artie_fufkin wrote:

APIAD wrote:

Also some word that the Cardinals are interested in Drew and maybe trading Furcal or moving him to second.  I dont believe that for a second.

It would be hard to wheel Furcal, unless I'm misreading the market for aging, injury-prone shortstops who may need Tommy John surgery.

It's a limited market.  In the realm of supply and demand, Furcal has the supply side of the equation cornered.

Rec. Sort of like my mother-in-law putting in a personal ad that reads: "Obtuse, intrusive, self-absorbed drama queen with bad dye job seeks soulmate."

 

12/04/2012 2:58 pm  #90


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

Sounds like the Cardinals are looking seriously at Scutaro and will definitely trade Schumaker.

I would prefer Yunel Escobar to Scutaro, even though he's a colossal dick, but if they can come away with one of those, Sean Burnett and Scott Hairston and stop bunting with fucking Jon Jay they probably win 93 games.

 

12/04/2012 3:13 pm  #91


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

Scutaro seems like a flavor of the month.

 

12/04/2012 3:20 pm  #92


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

On second thought he is probably a better secondbase or SS then is what is on the roster right now.  He might be a cant miss given that he can play both positions and would be an upgrade at both.  I am sure he is what more then one year tho.

 

12/04/2012 3:21 pm  #93


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

On third thought he sounds to pricey in both years and dollars.


"2:10pm: Bidding for Scutaro is said to have reached something in the neighborhood of three years and $24MM, with the Giants still in the lead, tweets ESPN.com's Buster Olney.

12:27pm: Scutaro isn't expected to sign with another team without the Giants getting a final shot at him, says Henry Schulman of the San Francisco Chronicle (Sulia link).

11:43am: The market for free agent infielder Marco Scutaro is heating up, according to Ken Rosenthal and Jon Paul Morosi of FOX Sports. The FOX duo reports that the Cardinals are eyeing Scutaro as a potential starting second baseman, while the Yankees, in the wake of news of Alex Rodriguez's hip surgery, also likely have interest.

The Giants have also been working to re-sign Scutaro, as we heard yesterday that San Francisco had been "bending over backward" to retain Scutaro and Angel Pagan. With Pagan locked up, the Giants may become more aggressive on the 2012 NLCS MVP.

The Cardinals met with Scutaro's agent Barry Praver on Monday in Nashville, as Danny Knobler of CBS Sports tweeted last night.

Read more at http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/st_louis_cardinals/index.html#PCh60Y4GwTPGMUlU.99 "

 

12/04/2012 3:21 pm  #94


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

I have no problem giving Scutaro a reasonable contract for more than 1 year.  He could play 2B this year and move to SS in 2014 (or whenever they decide Wong is ready) or when Furcal gets hurt.

Check that.  Didn't realize he was 37.  Yikes, not sure I want to buy into a 39 year old Marco Scutaro.

Last edited by forsberg_us (12/04/2012 3:27 pm)

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12/04/2012 3:26 pm  #95


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

On a completely unrelated note, anyone else think it's completely stupid that Garcia is pitching in the WBC considering he finished the season essentially on the DL with shoulder problems?

http://www.stltoday.com/sports/baseball/professional/molina-beltran-garcia-sign-on-for-wbc/article_fb4c80a5-3ccb-5258-9e3d-a422fd0ae414.html

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12/04/2012 6:22 pm  #96


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

forsberg_us wrote:

"As opposed to . . . Off-season Game Crap?"

Yeah, we're using that link for stuff involving the other teams.

"both felt slighted during contract talks when it became clear their current team wasn't going to pay based on past performance."

I think any player who expect to get paid on past performance is in for a rude awakening. I can't say I understand all of the advanced metrics, but all of the teams are using them and have hired people whose job it is to understand them. It's very much a "what have you done for me lately, what can you do for me in the future" business.

I'll take your word on all of that, but realistically, the Angles paid way too much for Pujols, and even the Cards' final offer was probably way too much money.  Pujols will have to have Ruthian longevity down the back stretch of his career to make either one look like a good deal, based upon his performance from 2012 through the bitter end.  So, he kinda was being paid for past performance.  It made more sense for the Cards to offer to over pay him that for the Angles, though, so that's a bit of a head scratcher.  Maybe those advanced metrics guys think he's gonna be worth it?

 

12/04/2012 6:23 pm  #97


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

APIAD wrote:

"I think any player who expect to get paid on past performance is in for a rude awakening."

Do some degree I guess but there are still going to be bad contracts.  Pujols is the clear case for saying teams are still paying for past performance.  Ichiro is an old man.  I dont know why he would expect much.

Ooops.  Note to self: read ahead first, Max.

 

12/04/2012 6:33 pm  #98


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

artie_fufkin wrote:

APIAD wrote:

Also some word that the Cardinals are interested in Drew and maybe trading Furcal or moving him to second.  I dont believe that for a second.

It would be hard to wheel Furcal, unless I'm misreading the market for aging, injury-prone shortstops who may need Tommy John surgery.

. . . unless the Cards pick up a big piece of his contract.  I would say that the Cards don't eat Adam Kennedy sized contracts, but that led to a blow up last time I did.  All I was saying is that if the Cards could find a replacement for Furcal, and if they could find a taker for Furcal, typically the Cards have not been willing to pay several millions of dollars to make a guy to go away. 

Speaking of eating contracts, one potential biggie that we might have overlooked: Tino Martinez.  I recall we traded Tino Martinez for our closer of the future, Evan Rust, but did we also pay some of Tino's salary?

Otherwise, last we tabulated, the biggest write-off we could recall was the $4 million for the last year of Kennedy's contract.  Thus, it might be the case that moving Furcal would require the biggest write-off in team history.

 

12/04/2012 6:40 pm  #99


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

APIAD wrote:

"I think any player who expect to get paid on past performance is in for a rude awakening."

Do some degree I guess but there are still going to be bad contracts.  Pujols is the clear case for saying teams are still paying for past performance.  Ichiro is an old man.  I dont know why he would expect much.

Now, regarding Ichiro, I suspect that the Mariners were willing to go the extra mile to accommodate his wishes when they traded him, and I suspect that one thing he would like to do before he shuffles off this MLB coil would be to win a WS.  So the Yankees made sense, in that they had cash and good shot at a title.  Now, with fading hopes, Ichiro might have to decide between his 3000 hits and a title.  If he wants a title, he'll just have to swallow his pride and take what Cashman offers.  If he wants his hits, he should go to an absolutely terrible team, where he might wangle an everyday lead-off hitter role.  How do you say, "I love Miami" in Japanese?

 

12/04/2012 6:41 pm  #100


Re: New 2013 Cards Hot Stove

I doubt they'd trade Furcal even if they picked up a "shortstop of the future."  They still have a hole at second base.  Rather than pay Furcal to play elsewhere, why not move him to 2B (or move the other player to 2B)? 

Another name that was floating around in rumorland was Dee Gordon from the Dodgers.  The idea being that Gordon would play second this season then move back to SS when Furcal moved on and Wong takes over 2B.

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