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Luhnow should have paid good money to get press like this. The main problem with the thesis being that the Cards haven't been making the playoffs much since the Moneyball Era began at Busch stadium.
"Can Cards keep payoffs (and playoffs) coming?"
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Gee, how did I know which PD writer wrote that piece before even clicking on the link?
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forsberg_us wrote:
Gee, how did I know which PD writer wrote that piece before even clicking on the link?
It's almost like a p.r. piece.
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So the Cardinals made 13mill profit compared to 43 million by the Yankees. What does profit mean? Does that mean if Dewitt makes 10 million and gives himself another 10 million dollar raise then there was only 3 million of profit? Or if the Cardinals pay more on there stadium debt then there is less profit? I would think that number would be meaningless and could be made whatever the team wants.
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APRTW wrote:
So the Cardinals made 13mill profit compared to 43 million by the Yankees. What does profit mean? Does that mean if Dewitt makes 10 million and gives himself another 10 million dollar raise then there was only 3 million of profit? Or if the Cardinals pay more on there stadium debt then there is less profit? I would think that number would be meaningless and could be made whatever the team wants.
The Yankees made $25 million on $441 million in revenues, for a return of 5.66%. The Cardinals made $13 million on $195 million in revenue, for a 6.66% profit (how's that for symbolic?). These guys must be terrible businessmen, because their profit is below yearly growth in Asian countries. They could take their millions, invest them in Asia, and surely get a better return. Gosh, I am suddenly filled with sympathy for how hard it must be to earn any money by running a baseball team.
Last edited by Max (12/11/2010 5:03 pm)
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What I am saying is that 13 million is what is left over after they pay themselfs and reinvest into there business. Really that number could be whatever they want it to be depending on how much they pay themself and how much they invest back into the staduim. That goes for any business. Really you can show whatever you want to show.
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I agree and was illustrating your point. My sarcasm is a little dry, today.
There is an art in business to not showing a profit, depending on the business model. A famous example concerns movies, where some investors and even stars used to be paid a share of profits. That is, until movie moguls were to blatantly pulling the tricks you assume baseball owners are. Savvy film investors and stars insist on a share of gross receipts, not profits.
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artie_fufkin wrote:
forsberg_us wrote:
Gee, how did I know which PD writer wrote that piece before even clicking on the link?
It's almost like a p.r. piece.
Ya think?
"Mozeliak must avoid deals that send top prospects (like relievers Chris Perez and Luke Gregerson) for short-term veteran help (Khalil Greene and Mark DeRosa). Those trades left a developmental gap that kept Kyle McClellan in the bullpen, thus leaving the Cards lacking starting pitching depth last year when Brad Penny and Lohse broke down."
Yeah, that was the reason we didn't make the playoffs last year, because Moz momentarily veered off of the game plan and traded Perez and Gregerson (notice there's no mention of the guy who was traded for Holliday). And it goes without saying that is why the Greene trade blew up in his face.
Last edited by Max (12/11/2010 7:42 pm)
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Gordon frequently touts the "Luhnow" organization for the number of major leaguers it produces, but there's rarely any mention of quality. In 6 drafts, Luhnow has produced 2 players that have a significant role on this team, Rasmus and Garcia, and Luhnow didn't want to draft Rasmus. Give him credit for Perez as well
Luhnow spent 3 years drafting a lot of "high floor, low ceiling" players who could be 4th outfielders, utility infielders and right handed relievers. Gordon touts these players as the cheap guys who compliment the stars, but the reality is that you can find those guys cheap every year. They changed philosophy in 2008 when they drafted Wallace, so we'll soon be able to compare the 2 philosophies, but the reality is that without the superstars from the Jocketty regime (Pujols, Molina), talent from trades, (Holliday, Wainwright Westbrook) and the occasional free agent (Carpenter), a team that consisted primarily of Luhnow draftees would much more closely resemble the Pirates than it would the Twins.
And don't get me started on the failure of Luhnow's Latin American project.
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"Ya think?"
Must be more of that dry sarcasm. I wanted to say I agreed without the 1-word "Agreed" response that I've always read as a ham-fisted commandment.
And in a more specific context, cut me a little slack tonight please. I've just spent the last 10 hours taking orders from a cranky 70-year-old man recovering from a hip replacement whilst supervising the world's most restless 10-year-old. In an alcohol-free environment.
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Max wrote:
artie_fufkin wrote:
forsberg_us wrote:
Gee, how did I know which PD writer wrote that piece before even clicking on the link?
It's almost like a p.r. piece.
Ya think?
"Mozeliak must avoid deals that send top prospects (like relievers Chris Perez and Luke Gregerson) for short-term veteran help (Khalil Greene and Mark DeRosa). Those trades left a developmental gap that kept Kyle McClellan in the bullpen, thus leaving the Cards lacking starting pitching depth last year when Brad Penny and Lohse broke down."
Yeah, that was the reason we didn't make the playoffs last year, because Moz momentarily veered off of the game plan and traded Perez and Gregerson (notice there's no mention of the guy who was traded for Holliday). And it goes without saying that is why the Greene trade blew up in his face.
Was Gregerson a "top prospect?"
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artie_fufkin wrote:
Max wrote:
artie_fufkin wrote:
It's almost like a p.r. piece.Ya think?
"Mozeliak must avoid deals that send top prospects (like relievers Chris Perez and Luke Gregerson) for short-term veteran help (Khalil Greene and Mark DeRosa). Those trades left a developmental gap that kept Kyle McClellan in the bullpen, thus leaving the Cards lacking starting pitching depth last year when Brad Penny and Lohse broke down."
Yeah, that was the reason we didn't make the playoffs last year, because Moz momentarily veered off of the game plan and traded Perez and Gregerson (notice there's no mention of the guy who was traded for Holliday). And it goes without saying that is why the Greene trade blew up in his face.Was Gregerson a "top prospect?"
He's the reason Kyle McClellan got stuck in the bullpen instead of having the breakout season as a starter that he is destined for the moment there's a spot in the rotation, which, considering we just dropped $17 million on Westbrook isn't going to be anytime soon. But forget that for a moment, and basically, that one trade caused us to creamed in the first round of the playoffs in 2009 AND miss the playoffs completely in 2010. Who knows how many seasons it will take to claw our way out of the hole that the loss of Gregerson caused?
Now I know what you're thinking. A decent right-handed bullpen arm costs no more than $1.5 - 3 million, and seeing as our budget the past few seasons has been down around $95, but is projected to be over $110 million this season, then doesn't that mean we had $15 million in payroll flexibility, and doesn't that beg the question why we didn't just buy ourselves 3 or 4 Gregersons the past two seasons??? Well listen up Cardinal Nation, pay no attention to the man behind the curtain.
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artie_fufkin wrote:
Max wrote:
artie_fufkin wrote:
It's almost like a p.r. piece.Ya think?
"Mozeliak must avoid deals that send top prospects (like relievers Chris Perez and Luke Gregerson) for short-term veteran help (Khalil Greene and Mark DeRosa). Those trades left a developmental gap that kept Kyle McClellan in the bullpen, thus leaving the Cards lacking starting pitching depth last year when Brad Penny and Lohse broke down."
Yeah, that was the reason we didn't make the playoffs last year, because Moz momentarily veered off of the game plan and traded Perez and Gregerson (notice there's no mention of the guy who was traded for Holliday). And it goes without saying that is why the Greene trade blew up in his face.Was Gregerson a "top prospect?"
No. If you remember, Mark Worrell was supposed to be the big loss in that trade. Worrell blew out his arm. Funny Gordon never mentions that.
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forsberg_us wrote:
artie_fufkin wrote:
Max wrote:
Ya think?
"Mozeliak must avoid deals that send top prospects (like relievers Chris Perez and Luke Gregerson) for short-term veteran help (Khalil Greene and Mark DeRosa). Those trades left a developmental gap that kept Kyle McClellan in the bullpen, thus leaving the Cards lacking starting pitching depth last year when Brad Penny and Lohse broke down."
Yeah, that was the reason we didn't make the playoffs last year, because Moz momentarily veered off of the game plan and traded Perez and Gregerson (notice there's no mention of the guy who was traded for Holliday). And it goes without saying that is why the Greene trade blew up in his face.Was Gregerson a "top prospect?"
No. If you remember, Mark Worrell was supposed to be the big loss in that trade. Worrell blew out his arm. Funny Gordon never mentions that.
That was my recollection as well.
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Who the Cardinals tell us are cant miss big leaguers and what other teams think are big leagers can be two different things.
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Max wrote:
artie_fufkin wrote:
Max wrote:
Ya think?
"Mozeliak must avoid deals that send top prospects (like relievers Chris Perez and Luke Gregerson) for short-term veteran help (Khalil Greene and Mark DeRosa). Those trades left a developmental gap that kept Kyle McClellan in the bullpen, thus leaving the Cards lacking starting pitching depth last year when Brad Penny and Lohse broke down."
Yeah, that was the reason we didn't make the playoffs last year, because Moz momentarily veered off of the game plan and traded Perez and Gregerson (notice there's no mention of the guy who was traded for Holliday). And it goes without saying that is why the Greene trade blew up in his face.Was Gregerson a "top prospect?"
He's the reason Kyle McClellan got stuck in the bullpen instead of having the breakout season as a starter that he is destined for the moment there's a spot in the rotation, which, considering we just dropped $17 million on Westbrook isn't going to be anytime soon.
I've always questioned the whole "McClellan as a starter" notion. Maybe it's just my perception, but McClellan seems to be a guy who falls behind a lot of hitter and who throws a lot of pitches per inning. Assuming he has the arsenal to go through a lineup multiple times, McClellan strikes me as a 5-6 inning pitcher at best. An inability to go deep into games is the same reason Boggs, Ottavino, Walters and others have been deemed unfit for the rotation.
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forsberg_us wrote:
Max wrote:
artie_fufkin wrote:
Was Gregerson a "top prospect?"He's the reason Kyle McClellan got stuck in the bullpen instead of having the breakout season as a starter that he is destined for the moment there's a spot in the rotation, which, considering we just dropped $17 million on Westbrook isn't going to be anytime soon.
I've always questioned the whole "McClellan as a starter" notion. Maybe it's just my perception, but McClellan seems to be a guy who falls behind a lot of hitter and who throws a lot of pitches per inning. Assuming he has the arsenal to go through a lineup multiple times, McClellan strikes me as a 5-6 inning pitcher at best. An inability to go deep into games is the same reason Boggs, Ottavino, Walters and others have been deemed unfit for the rotation.
I don't know if this is reality or just my perception, but he seems to allow the first batter he faces to reach base a lot. That's a great way to build a high pitch count (and stress) when you're a starting pitcher.
I'll see if I can find some numbers on B-R.
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It's my perception. First batters faced in McClellan's career are batting .231, and his overall BAA is .237.
Last year, he was a studly .194 against FBF and .210 BAA overall.
My apologies to Kyle and the entire McClellan family.
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He seems to give up big late inning runs.
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APRTW wrote:
And so, according Forbes, the value of the team has tripled, or something like that, in the years the current ownership group has owned it, and that needs to be factored into their calculations.