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11/07/2014 5:50 pm  #1


ASU-Notre Dame

Artie, should I take Arizona State -2.5?

 

11/08/2014 11:38 am  #2


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

tkihshbt wrote:

Artie, should I take Arizona State -2.5?

I'm probably not the person to ask, because I get way too emotionally involved when it comes to both teams, and this is the type of game ASU has always lost in the past, but I think the Devils get it done this time. I really do.
There's something different about this ASU team. They just seem to have good fortune on their side this year. They beat USC on a hail mary on the last play of the game. They beat Washington in Seattle, which has been a graveyard for them when it rains. They beat Utah in overtime after the best kicker in the country missed a chip shot field goal. Their karmic influences are aligned. Whether their defense can stop Notre Dame's quarterback is another matter.

 

11/08/2014 4:39 pm  #3


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

RUN IT UP, BABY!!!

 

11/08/2014 4:50 pm  #4


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

I hope this ends up about 73-3. I have to go to firm function tonight, and it's going to be so enjoyable to shove it in the Domers' faces.

 

11/08/2014 6:26 pm  #5


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

I want Arizona state to be ranked as high as possible for the pac 12 game. That way whoever wins should get a playoff spot.

Auburn better hurry up or they are going to fall to Texas a&m

 

11/09/2014 10:51 am  #6


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

Well, that got interesting. When it was 34-31, I was almost sweating.
Now It would be just like ASU to lose to Wazoo and/or OSU and screw up their season, but as I've said this team just seems to have a different makeup to it.

 

11/09/2014 2:01 pm  #7


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

As I feared, Ohio State jumped over ASU in the coaches' poll. Ohio State has played one top 25 team. ASU has played five. I know the poll that comes out on Tuesday is the one that matters and ASU will be ranked higher, but to think Ohio State is better than ASU in 2014 because Woody Hayes won the Buckears a couple of national championships around 50 years ago is ignorant.

 

11/10/2014 8:54 am  #8


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

artie_fufkin wrote:

As I feared, Ohio State jumped over ASU in the coaches' poll. Ohio State has played one top 25 team. ASU has played five. I know the poll that comes out on Tuesday is the one that matters and ASU will be ranked higher, but to think Ohio State is better than ASU in 2014 because Woody Hayes won the Buckears a couple of national championships around 50 years ago is ignorant.

Fortunately (and the one thing I love about the playoff committee), is they don't seem to have the bias of the polls just yet. 

Arizona State was 9th. Three teams lost in front of you. The CFP may get you all the way up to 6. Ohio State was 14, and I don't see them jumping you from there.

Last edited by alz (11/10/2014 8:54 am)

 

11/10/2014 10:23 am  #9


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

The coaches' poll is insignificant.  The coaches clearly don't have time to watch any games other than their own and their upcoming opponent.  Most of those votes are cast by student assistants in the Sports Information Department at their respective school.

 

11/10/2014 11:33 am  #10


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

Associated Press has ASU one spot ahead of Ohio State. I think you're right, Alz. ASU probably gets up to 6th in the poll that matters. 

 

11/10/2014 11:34 am  #11


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

forsberg_us wrote:

The coaches' poll is insignificant.  The coaches clearly don't have time to watch any games other than their own and their upcoming opponent.  Most of those votes are cast by student assistants in the Sports Information Department at their respective school.

All polls are insignificant except for one. The final pre-playoff CFB standings. Nothing else matters at all. I enjoy the CFB week to week update, because that lets me know how that group of people feels things shake out, and since they have the final say, that matters to me. I also appreciate the AP/Coaches polls until the CFB poll starts coming out, because it gives me a sense of where everyone else is early in the year. Once the CFB poll hits though, I don't care if the Coaches and the AP rank Oregon #115 in the standings. They don't matter at all.

 

11/11/2014 8:44 pm  #12


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

Oregon jumps over Florida State to the #2 spot, bookended by Mississippi State and TCU.  ASU is sixth, after Alabama.
I'm probably going to have to root for Mississippi State to beat Alabama this weekend. If ASU wins out, they probably get the nod over a 2-loss Alabama, but they probably get squeezed if MSU and Alabama each has one loss.

 

11/12/2014 9:10 am  #13


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

Yeah I didn't really count on Oregon jumping anyone there, but I had the teams figured out right.

Alabama with a tight win over Mississippi State would be a bit difficult for ASU to beat, even if you do beat Oregon. You'll need to jump TCU or Alabama to get in, so you'd like them to be as weak as possible. Might have a better case for TCU (Although I keep hearing if Baylor wins out, they might jump TCU since they beat them head to head, but they have an ugly 14 point loss to unranked West Virginia).

 

11/12/2014 10:22 am  #14


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

There isn't a team on the planet with a softer remaining schedule than TCU.  They have to go to Texas, but the Longhorns have been pretty awful.  Their other two games are against Iowa State (winless in the conference) and kansas (whose only win in conference was agaisnt ISU and resulted in the beakers tearing down the goalposts).  TCU will win its last 3, but go down in the eyes of the panel.

Baylor still has to play Kansas State, so there's at least one legitimate game on their schedule.  

I still think the lack of a championship game is going to bite the Big XII in the ass, and that's going to make me laugh.

 

11/12/2014 10:36 am  #15


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

"I still think the lack of a championship game is going to bite the Big XII in the ass, and that's going to make me laugh."

Especially since they've taken the "We don't need no stinkin' championship game; We determine our champion during regular season" tack.
The Big 12 doesn't have a title game because Nebraska, Missouri, Texas A&M and Colorado all bolted for better leagues and there aren't enough good teams left to support having two divisions to play a legitimate conference championship game.

 

11/12/2014 2:42 pm  #16


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

artie_fufkin wrote:

"I still think the lack of a championship game is going to bite the Big XII in the ass, and that's going to make me laugh."

Especially since they've taken the "We don't need no stinkin' championship game; We determine our champion during regular season" tack.
The Big 12 doesn't have a title game because Nebraska, Missouri, Texas A&M and Colorado all bolted for better leagues and there aren't enough good teams left to support having two divisions to play a legitimate conference championship game.

Well, we'll see. I for one did not like playing Utah. Oregon lost 2 players for the season during that game, and one might never play again if the replay angle I saw from Tivo regarding his right leg (the tight end, my god that was hideous) is any indication, especially considering they are saying it was his knee.... Not good at all. That leg was in free swing.

I came out of that game thinking we might actually get thumped by ASU in the championship game. We'll see. Going to be a lot of fun for sure. After that, we'll worry about who gets to be a contender

Another note about the SEC. I know they have a lot of good schools, but I gotta be honest here. I don't believe they are all THAT good. I think they just get elevated because they are SEC teams. The only thing that's really clear to me is Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Miss, Miss St are all relatively close to each other in skill. Whether that means they should all crowd the top 10, or maybe they deserve to be around the 15-25 mark... I don't know. It's hard to compare outside of the conference when there aren't many quality games on anyone's schedule (out of conference).

Last edited by alz (11/12/2014 2:43 pm)

 

11/12/2014 3:43 pm  #17


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

"I came out of that game thinking we might actually get thumped by ASU in the championship game."

It's my pessimistic nature to believe that Oregon would be a heavy favorite.
And ASU still has to get there. The weather in Corvallis is supposed to be around 45 degrees, though the rain that was supposed to come on Saturday is now supposed to come on Friday, which is good news. Still, that's a cold temperature for a bunch of kids who are used to Tempe weather.
Wazoo without Halliday at home should be a layup, but then they have to get by UofA in Tucson. 
The presumptive Pac 12 championship game will likely be a home game for Oregon, at least in terms of crowd ratio. ASU couldn't even sell out for Notre Dame. Forget about more than a couple thousand diehards traveling to Santa Clara.

 

11/12/2014 4:10 pm  #18


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

Well, from what I'm seeing, we may need all the help we can get. We're a good football team, but this may be the most beatable Oregon team I've seen in 6 years.

 

11/12/2014 5:26 pm  #19


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

alz wrote:

Another note about the SEC. I know they have a lot of good schools, but I gotta be honest here. I don't believe they are all THAT good. I think they just get elevated because they are SEC teams. The only thing that's really clear to me is Alabama, Auburn, LSU, Miss, Miss St are all relatively close to each other in skill. Whether that means they should all crowd the top 10, or maybe they deserve to be around the 15-25 mark... I don't know. It's hard to compare outside of the conference when there aren't many quality games on anyone's schedule (out of conference).

The Out of Conference records suggest otherwise Alz

1) SEC (43-3)
vs Power5 (5-2), (4 remaining - ACC)
Wins over ranked (3) Kansas St, Wisconsin, Clemson
Losses to Oklahoma, Temple, Indiana.

2 ) PAC (29-5)
vs Power5 (6-2), 0 remaining
Wins over ranked (2) Michigan St, Note Dame
Losses to Notre Dame, Rutgers, Nevada, Boston College, Colorado St

3) B12 (22-8)
vs Power5 (4-6), 0 remaining
Wins over ranked (1) Minnesota
Losses to Florida St, Auburn, Alabama, Arkansas, UCLA, BYU, Duke, North Dakota St

4) ACC (36-14)
vs Power5 (4-5), (4 remaining - SEC)
Wins over ranked (2) Ohio St, Notre Dame
Losses to Georgia, Notre Dame (x2), UCLA, ECU (x2), BYU, Nebraska, Iowa, Colorado St, Maryland, Utah St, La Monroe, Akron

5) B1G (40-14)
vs Power5 (5-9), 0 remaining
Wins over ranked (0)
Losses to Oregon, Notre Dame (x2), TCU, LSU, Virginia Tech, West Va, Utah, Washington, Iowa St, Cal, No Illisnois, Bowling Green, Cent Michigan


One other thing to consider.  The SEC West is 35-1 against teams outside of the division.  The only loss in that mix is Arkansas' loss to Georgia

 

 

11/12/2014 5:33 pm  #20


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

artie_fufkin wrote:

"I still think the lack of a championship game is going to bite the Big XII in the ass, and that's going to make me laugh."

Especially since they've taken the "We don't need no stinkin' championship game; We determine our champion during regular season" tack.
The Big 12 doesn't have a title game because Nebraska, Missouri, Texas A&M and Colorado all bolted for better leagues and there aren't enough good teams left to support having two divisions to play a legitimate conference championship game.

Allowing Texas to run the conference has led the Big XII down this path.  Texas wanted the biggest piece of pie under the old system and after launching the Longhorn Network (rather than working toward a Big XII network) wanted to increase the size of its piece and only its piece.  That led to the defections.  Now the main TV deals are divided equally, and the Big XII members are enjoying the size of their piece.  That left them with a problem.  Per NCAA rules, they can't have a conference championship game unless their at 12 teams.  In order to get to 12 teams, they have to cut the pie into 12 pieces instead of 10, thus shrinking the size of each piece.  They've resisted expanding the conference because there aren't really any teams that make sense (i.e., that bring a significant increase in television viewership) looking to jump conferences.  That leaves them pretty much stuck with their present situation.

 

 

11/12/2014 6:41 pm  #21


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

forsberg_us wrote:

artie_fufkin wrote:

"I still think the lack of a championship game is going to bite the Big XII in the ass, and that's going to make me laugh."

Especially since they've taken the "We don't need no stinkin' championship game; We determine our champion during regular season" tack.
The Big 12 doesn't have a title game because Nebraska, Missouri, Texas A&M and Colorado all bolted for better leagues and there aren't enough good teams left to support having two divisions to play a legitimate conference championship game.

Allowing Texas to run the conference has led the Big XII down this path.  Texas wanted the biggest piece of pie under the old system and after launching the Longhorn Network (rather than working toward a Big XII network) wanted to increase the size of its piece and only its piece.  That led to the defections.  Now the main TV deals are divided equally, and the Big XII members are enjoying the size of their piece.  That left them with a problem.  Per NCAA rules, they can't have a conference championship game unless their at 12 teams.  In order to get to 12 teams, they have to cut the pie into 12 pieces instead of 10, thus shrinking the size of each piece.  They've resisted expanding the conference because there aren't really any teams that make sense (i.e., that bring a significant increase in television viewership) looking to jump conferences.  That leaves them pretty much stuck with their present situation.

 

FWIW, I was against the Gang of Four defecting from the Big 12 to what was at the time the Pac 10 (one Stoops per conference was enough) and I wasn't too thrilled about gaining Utah and Colorado, for that matter.
Losing A&M to the SEC was the real blow to the Big 12 because it took away the biggest intrastate rivalry in Texas. I know Oklahoma/Texas is a big deal, but A&M and Texas not playing each other every year is like, USC and UCLA not playing each other.

 

11/12/2014 6:44 pm  #22


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

"1) SEC (43-3)
vs Power5 (5-2), (4 remaining - ACC)
Wins over ranked (3) Kansas St, Wisconsin, Clemson
Losses to Oklahoma, Temple, Indiana.
The SEC West is 35-1 against teams outside of the division.  The only loss in that mix is Arkansas' loss to Georgia"

No wins over Weber State, though. So stick that in your pipe and smoke it, fella.

 

11/13/2014 12:17 am  #23


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

Fors I hear you, but I think you misunderstood me.

Going conference for conference like that doesn't tell me these guys are super elite. They could just be decent.

I don't really care about the conference as a whole, that includes teams like Tennessee, and Washington state that have no business being in the discussion. I just find it amusing that if teams in the SEC have great records, they are clearly the best. Yet Missouri had a dominant year there and they weren't super elite. If every team has a loss or 2 it is never even suggested that they aren't as good. It is because they all must be elite. That nonsense wouldn't fly anywhere else, and from what I see, I'm questioning the truth of it there this season.  It seems like every year A&M thrashes one of the towers without ever being that amazing themselves. That really shouldn't happen to title contenders. Arizona beat Oregon and i pretty much considered the season over. That's normal for me.

I just haven't seen a Cam Newton Auburn team here or a AJ Alabama tide team to scare me. Just a lot of teams that appear to be evenly matched but I'm not sold they should make up a third+ of the top 10. There are about 6 teams who can beat each other, all are top 25. Nobody is a clear killer though. And that cam newton auburn team only beat my ducks by a field goal, so I do give them respect.

I'm saying from watching them, and watching the pac 12. There's not much between them on the field. Nobody in that conference would house Oregon or Arizona state i don't think. Maybe they win but not by more then 7 in my opinion.

 

11/13/2014 7:22 am  #24


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

If your argument is there isn't a dominant team, you're right. There isn't one in college football period. Florida State isn't nearly as good as it was last season. I think Bama is the best in the SEC right now, but they're far from a dominant team.

I'm not sure I follow what you're saying about the rankings. Miss. St. Is undefeated, it has to be near the top of the rankings. Bama is one of a small handful of 1 loss teams, so it has to be up there too. I'm not sure that shows any bias.

Missouri wasn't an elite team last year, but it was better than a lot of people wanted to give it credit for. In many respect people disregarded what it accomplished because of circumstance: they played Georgia without Todd Gurley. Florida had injuries, Manziel was banged up, etc...  Of course no one mentions that Missouri plays 4 games without it's starting QB.

The other thing that I think drives the perception is recruiting rankings. Now, you can argue that those ratings are also biased, but you mention Tennessee. Tennessee had a top 5 recruiting class last season. Texas A & M had a top 5 class. Services invest a lot of time in money creating those rankings, so the assumption is that the teams that year in and year out get the best players must be the best teams. Of course, it doesn't always pan out that way.

 

11/13/2014 8:58 am  #25


Re: ASU-Notre Dame

No I believe you're right with recruiting rankings, and they aren't 100% biased. 

I just with there was a better measure of how the teams really stack up to each other.

Trying to draw an accurate picture by watching Alabama/LSU or Notre Dame/FSU etc is a really terrible method with a lot of holes. 

I'm basically just saying there doesn't seem to be an elite team in the SEC, there hasn't been one in football outside of the SEC for close to 10 years now. It's news however that one may not exist inside the SEC. This could be the second straight title they don't win. There might be riots.

 

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