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It's been five years since we discussed Hot Stove talk this early, but here we go.
I don't know what the team does. I would like to see Heyward brought back, but I think there's room to add another core outfielder. Can Grichuk play a full season? What does Piscotty do across an entire season? Is Wong really the second baseman moving forward? Could they move Carpenter to first and find a better player at third?
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This team is jammed full of complimentary players. Carp is the only player that I consider to really excell at his role. Idk what the team does to catch the cubs but they have alot of good pieces to make trades with.
I dont like moving carp to first idea. He can play second and in that position he is the best all around second baseman in the league. I never really agreed with moving him off of that position. Id trade wong, move carp to second and upgrade the corner infield spots by trade.
Piscotty, holliday, grichuk and moss are all to good to block without giving it thought but not good enough to add the beef the middle of this lineup needs.
Im affraid the team will hope moss returns to form after fully recovering from hip surgery and figure adams, moss and piscotty will be the answer at first.
Im affraid that they will count on the log jam in the outfield to provide a steady mis matching of production.
Both things result in no real change and another lack luster offensive year.
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Here's what I think the 2016 team might look like:
C - Molina
1B - Holliday
2B - Wong
SS - Peralta
3B - Carpenter
LF - Piscotty
CF - Grichuk
RF - Heyward
OF - Pham
OF - Jay
IB - Adams
INF - Garcia
C - ?
SP - Wainwright
SP - Martinez
SP - Wacha
SP - Garcia
SP - Lynn
CL - Rosenthal
LHP - Siegrist
LHP - ?
RHP - Maness
RHP - Walden
RHP - ?
L/RHP - ?
So, I'd sign Heyward, move Holliday to first (against his will, probably). Adams has the least secure roster spot, but he's cheap. The backup catcher spot is negotiable. Cruz is fine, but they might want to upgrade since they cant roll Yadi out there 140 times a season anymore and expect him to survive.
Garcia's option is reluctantly picked up. He's cheaper than most left-handed starters. They should be able to find a righthanded reliever out of the Socolovich/Tuivailala/Harris pile. The lefty-in-the-bullpen situation is where they might look outside the organization. Lyons and Gonzalez are starters, and Siegrist - as we saw the last two nights - isn't adept at getting out lefties, so DeWitt might have to open his wallet for a loogy.
Here's the roster situation and financials, according to Cots:
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Artie, I think you're right, but good grief would that be disappointing. Like AP said, the Cards are full of complementary players. They need more top-end talent.
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Outside of signing Cespedes any manuvering will have to be done through trade
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I'm tired of the Cardinals sitting out on these Cuban players. Or a guy like Kang, who went to the Pirates because the poor Cardinals didn't want to take that risk on an unknown. One night at Ballpark Village pays Soler's entire salary.
Also, the backup catcher thing...no more Tony effing Cruz.
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Im not sure but I think bronxton has an option (expensive im sure) that could be picked up. I think moss is under control for 2016 as well as Cishek.
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I think thereare some cases to be made. Are the cards better off letting heyward go and signing Cespedes? In fairytale land they get both and solve all the problems. Is holliday worth keeping at all? Shoukd he be considered a platoon player? What is the point of jon jay?
Loyalty cant get in the way of solid decision this offseason.
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Holliday is guaranteed to be here in 2016, unless they decide to release him.
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tkihshbt wrote:
I'm tired of the Cardinals sitting out on these Cuban players. Or a guy like Kang, who went to the Pirates because the poor Cardinals didn't want to take that risk on an unknown. One night at Ballpark Village pays Soler's entire salary.
Also, the backup catcher thing...no more Tony effing Cruz.
If anyone remembers I was in favor of the cards signing Cespedes and Alexei Ramirez. I know ramirez has been great but he was a far cry better then pre-peralta days.
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tkihshbt wrote:
Holliday is guaranteed to be here in 2016, unless they decide to release him.
I was speaking in term of trading him. I think teams would still latch on to him and trading him may be easier then teaching him first or him grumbling about it.
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APIAD wrote:
Im not sure but I think bronxton has an option (expensive im sure) that could be picked up. I think moss is under control for 2016 as well as Cishek.
Broxton has a club option for $9 million. Moss is arbitration eligible. My roster has Adams on it because he's a cheaper option and the Cardinals almost always go with a cheaper player. Cishek is arbitration eligible. He made $6.65 million last year. The Cardinals won't pay that for a setup guy.
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"Also, the backup catcher thing...no more Tony effing Cruz."
I'm certainly not married to the notion of retaining Cruz. They could go with one of the farmhands or try to get a guy from elsewhere who has a little more pop in his bat. Again, they have to think about giving Yadi a little more rest, but as long as he's here backup catcher on the Cardinals will have a Maytag repairman quality to it.
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APIAD wrote:
tkihshbt wrote:
Holliday is guaranteed to be here in 2016, unless they decide to release him.
I was speaking in term of trading him. I think teams would still latch on to him and trading him may be easier then teaching him first or him grumbling about it.
I don't know who is going to trade for a 36-year-old (on opening day) defensively-challenged leftfielder who is coming off an injury-plagued season, after his numbers were already trending downward. This was one of the issues when they signed him to that contract - they knew they were going to overpay for a player whose skills were going to diminish during the length of the contract.
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"What is the point of jon jay?"
They're committed to paying Jay ~$6 million next year, so he stays. Remember, he came into the season with a career batting average of .295. If everyone is healthy, he's a fourth or fifth outfielder on a team that's going to need depth. Neither Pham nor Grichuk has ever made it through an entire season without getting hurt, Piscotty has never played an entire major league season and Holliday is aging.
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Remember, AP: Holliday has a full no-trade clause plus he's a 10/5 guy, which gives him full veto power over trades. And I don't see him wanting out.
I'll go out on a limb: Lance Lynn is traded this winter.
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"I'll go out on a limb: Lance Lynn is traded this winter."
He'd certainly have some appeal - a young, relatively cheap pitcher who will give you a lot of innings. Maybe a package of, say Lynn and Adams, fetches you a decent hitter.
But you have to make sure you're committed to either Gonzales or Lyons, or you re-sign Lackey. The only thing I've read from Lackey about his next contract is that he'd like to place on a team that has an opportunity to win a World Series.
Last edited by artie_fufkin (10/14/2015 10:55 am)
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I'm okay with everything the Cardinals had this season. Wainright not being at the front of the rotation hurt bad during the playoffs. The glaring hole was at First Base to me. I'm not sold on Adams, and while I like Reynolds/Moss bringing a bat off the bench, the team is missing that feared batter.
We need that guy. That "Paul Goldschmidt" over at 1st base.
OMG just looked at his contract, Arizona got him for such a deal.... 5 years 32 million, they signed him early, and it paid off huge. That's peanuts for a 1st baseman that is 28, hit .321, 182 hits, and 33 HRs.
I wonder what it'd take to get him, he's under control through 2017 (with a club option for 2018).
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La Russa considers Goldschmidt to be Arizona's Pujols. He's not the "burn it down" type, so I wouldn't expect him to ever be dealt.
"artie fufkin" wrote:
He'd certainly have some appeal - a young, relatively cheap pitcher who will give you a lot of innings. Maybe a package of, say Lynn and Adams, fetches you a decent hitter.
The Cardinals are going to have to go the trade route. This team will never bottom out like the Cubs and Astros did, and unless the team has some sort of season like the Rangers had in 2014 when every single player seems to suffer an injury, they'll never be bad enough to get a Top 5 pick like the Cubs and Astros.
Basically, the Cardinals need to do a better job in the international market and start winning some trades. Theo and Jed's best moves that they had actual control over (the Astros stupidly passing on Bryant and the Astros, Marlins and Sox passing on Schwarber for pitchers was dumb luck) were getting Rizzo, Russell and Arrieta. Those are moves Mozeliak has to make. The free agent market is thin on impact infielders, so if the Cardinals plan on competing with the Cubs, they need to identify those players in trades. It's not easy, and it takes a stupid GM (the Padres trading Rizzo for Cashner and the A's tossing in the prodigous Russell were horrendous), but it can be done.
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Good points on holliday, broxton and ceshik
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Id go a platoon of moss or adams and holliday at first.
Cards got the money to spend on cespedes and heyward. It would be an easy fix that wouldnt cost prospects.
3b-carp
Rf-heyward
Lf-Cespedes
Ss-Peralta
1b-holliday or adams/moss
Cf-grichuk or piscotty
C-molina
2b-wong
Last thing they could do is trade wong, move carp to second and add another power bat at third.
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tkihshbt wrote:
Remember, AP: Holliday has a full no-trade clause plus he's a 10/5 guy, which gives him full veto power over trades. And I don't see him wanting out.
I'll go out on a limb: Lance Lynn is traded this winter.
Id take them trading lynn and resigning lackey.
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I'm still hung up on the value of this Goldschmidt character....
He outperformed every other 1B including Joey Votto (who's playing through that 12 year 251.5 million dollar deal)
Goldschmidt had 8 more runs, 11 more hits, 5 more doubles, 4 more HRs, 10 more steals, 30 more RBIs in 22 extra ABs. Votto has much better Walk/Strikeout ratio though.
Goldy made 3 million this year. Votto made 14.
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APIAD wrote:
tkihshbt wrote:
Remember, AP: Holliday has a full no-trade clause plus he's a 10/5 guy, which gives him full veto power over trades. And I don't see him wanting out.
I'll go out on a limb: Lance Lynn is traded this winter.Id take them trading lynn and resigning lackey.
^^^^^This^^^^^
I agree with everyone who said the Cardinals are loaded with complimentary pieces. They need someone who can step into this lineup and be the guy other teams have to plan around.
Some of the pieces either can't or won't be moved, but for the right return I'm not opposed to trading just about anyone. Over the course of the last few seasons, the Cardinals have been reluctant to "trade high" on a few of their prospects out of fear they'd be trading away a superstar. Players like Craig, Adams, Lynn, etc...
I'd re-sign Heyward who, combined with Holliday makes up 2/3 of the outfield. Peralta and Carpenter would be the only 2 infielders guaranteed to be on my 2016 roster. I'd pick up Moss' option, if for no other reason than he might have some trade value. If not, he can fill a role off the bench, but he can't be a starter.
Re-sign Lackey and pick up Garcia's option. The rotation would then be Wainwright, Lackey, Wacha, Martinez and Garcia. Lynn is freed up for a trade.
With that said, I'm shopping any of the following pieces this off-season: Grichuk, Piscotty, Adams, Wong, Moss, Lynn and Gonzales. I'm looking for a significant upgrade at either 1B, 3B, CF or RF
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You know, it looks like Chris Davis is a UFA this season.
I'm intrigued by this. Especially if we don't resign Heyward.