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Max wrote:
I think another team would offer $300 million for 10 years in a heartbeat.
The Cubs maybe. I cant see the Dodgers or Mets doing that.
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windwalker wrote:
Anybody see this? I think i'm gonna hurl...
Sounds about right, Windy. A few months ago Strauss reckoned the odds were less than 50-50 that the Cards resign Pujols, if I recall his numbers correctly. That is pretty depressing, coming from a guy with that much of a feel what is going on inside all of this.
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Oh, yeah, I agree on both counts: the main point of the article seemingly being that the Cards ownership and management is screwing this up to the point of failure. The Cards should have had this done last year.
It's like Strauss wrote on his Q&A on Wednesday, it's not time to panic, but if this is still going on 3 weeks from now, it's time to panic.
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Blaming Mozeliak for this is like blaming Scooter Libby for Plamegate. This has DeWitt's fingerprints all over it.
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Perhaps. It was widely rumored at the time that Moz needed an OK from the owners to pull the trigger on that one, though. And the big payroll increase probably required the owners' approval, too.
What I have been concerned about it is that if things break off, the owners will need to do a PR blitz, and that most likely will take the form of a guerilla campaign to make it look like it was Pujols's fault, and that he's not the kind of guy we want around here, anyway. So, I am watching closely for any sign that Pujols is being dissed in the media.
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Does Bleacher Report guy have more, less, about the same, credibility as St Louis Today ? Don't know, just asking .
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[quote=]Max is right, if this runs out to November and it becomes an auction, we're screwed.
and meanwhile the St. Louis Cardinal team , of the year 2011 ,wins the World Series ? Goes into the Dumper ? Disbands ?
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windwalker wrote:
if this runs out to November and it becomes an auction, we're screwed.
I can hear it now:
Moz: "We made what we thought was a fair offer, and frankly, what was even a bit higher than what we considered to be safe for the organization from a business standpoint, five years guaranteed at $22 million per year, plus two option years at $23 million, but unfortunately, the team from ______________ was able to nip our offer by guaranteeing 10 years at $32 million per year. I believe we speak for the entire Cardinal Nation when wish Albert the very best in the future, and the very best for our beloved Cardinals."
Last edited by Max (1/22/2011 8:09 pm)
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Tense moments in Cardinal Nation .
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Maybe I'm foolishly optimistic, but assuming Pujols is willing to agree to a reasonable contract length (7-8 years, but not 10) they get this done. This isn't just about money, it's about having the ability to market the team. If they don't sign Pujols after giving Holliday his contract, fair or not, Holliday will become the most reviled player in Cardinal history and he's here through 2016.
I don't think anyone is going to confuse me for a DeWitt apologist, but if Pujols insists on 10 years then good bye. It doesn't matter that the Yankees did it with A-Rod. The Cardinals can't and shouldn't try to operate like the Yankees. Not even for Pujols. 7-8 years is more than fair.
7 years, $196M. Pujols gets a higher AAV than A-Rod and it's only a $12M/year raise from the current payroll which is doable with Berkman and Carpenter coming off the books.
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Fors, you ignorant DeWitt apologist.
My thought is that the longer this drags out, the closer the Cards will have to pay to market rate. Would some team offer $300 million for 10 years, particularly if they had a handshake agreement from Pujols that he will walk away from baseball when he can no longer perform at the level that justifies that salary (as you have indicated on multiple occasions that you think Pujols would)? Yes! If some team offers him that, will a second team bump their offer to $310 or $320? Maybe. If the Yanks didn't already have Texeira locked up, I think they wouldn't hesitate to go to $350. Even so, I don't buy the argument that either the Yankees or the Red Sox won't be interested merely because they have inferior players already locked into big money contracts.
Supposing that your friend was right, and that Pujols's agent approached the Cards last year with $125/5 and the Cards stonewalled him, and now the market has gone up and the Cards are still stonewalling him. I think Pujols is now in the drivers seat and it's time for the Cards to make nice. offering $196 million is like saying, "Hey, we're too cheap to spend $4 million more to do something splashy for Albert the Great." It's time to think of numbers that soothe the aggrieved lion. If DeWitt can't round up now, it's over.
Last edited by Max (1/22/2011 11:43 pm)
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Fine. Add an option for an 8th year with a $4M guaranteed buy out. Now you're at $200M.
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Every day I expect to hear that he has signed. As each day that end I get alittle sadder.
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Personally I favor something splashy, like $30 million for 5 years, with a series of option years triggered by performance (something along the lines of 500 AB, .300/30/100) that would push the contract to the largest of all time. Pujols gets recognition as the first $30 million player, a guarantee he can end his career as a Cardinal, and a very fat payday as long as he plays like a superstar. The Cardinals get the financial security of being on the hook for only 5 years, with each year thereafter guaranteed only if Pujols is playing well. More importantly, they lock up the greatest player of his age for the life of his career, allow him to retire with the Cards, go to the Hall in Cardinals red, and keep the fan base happy.
Otherwise, if the ownership group thinks that they can "bungle" this, and figure that the fans will believe this was a 'what happens when bad things happen to good people" plot, they can forget it. My sentiments would follow Pujols to Wrigleyville if need be, and DeWitt could give himself a daily enema of cash, for all I would care.
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Max wrote:
Personally I favor something splashy, like $30 million for 5 years, with a series of option years triggered by performance (something along the lines of 500 AB, .300/30/100) that would push the contract to the largest of all time. Pujols gets recognition as the first $30 million player, a guarantee he can end his career as a Cardinal, and a very fat payday as long as he plays like a superstar. The Cardinals get the financial security of being on the hook for only 5 years, with each year thereafter guaranteed only if Pujols is playing well. More importantly, they lock up the greatest player of his age for the life of his career, allow him to retire with the Cards, go to the Hall in Cardinals red, and keep the fan base happy.
Otherwise, if the ownership group thinks that they can "bungle" this, and figure that the fans will believe this was a 'what happens when bad things happen to good people" plot, they can forget it. My sentiments would follow Pujols to Wrigleyville if need be, and DeWitt could give himself a daily enema of cash, for all I would care.
If the Cardinals are taking that approach that might be why the talks are taking so long. Pujols enough has leverage to ask and expect more. He is doing them a favor by not letting the contract talks go public.
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$200 million for 7 years is the highest AAV, but other than that it lacks splash, IMO.
$28.57 m per year
7 years
$200 million
None of that sounds as splashy as A-Rod's 10 year extension with the Yankees.
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Max wrote:
Personally I favor something splashy, like $30 million for 5 years, with a series of option years triggered by performance (something along the lines of 500 AB, .300/30/100) that would push the contract to the largest of all time. Pujols gets recognition as the first $30 million player, a guarantee he can end his career as a Cardinal, and a very fat payday as long as he plays like a superstar. The Cardinals get the financial security of being on the hook for only 5 years, with each year thereafter guaranteed only if Pujols is playing well.
That would violate the CBA. Incentives/extensions cannot be based on performance statistics. Only things like awards (MVP, All-Star) or appearance statistics.
There was a recent story (ESPN I think) that discussed how the Yankees had to get special league approval to give A-Rod the milestone incentives in his contract. I can't remember exactly how they got it approved, but the story discussed that the idea you're proposing doesn't pass muster.
Last edited by forsberg_us (1/24/2011 11:53 am)
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Max wrote:
$200 million for 7 years is the highest AAV, but other than that it lacks splash, IMO.
$28.57 m per year
7 years
$200 million
None of that sounds as splashy as A-Rod's 10 year extension with the Yankees.
The Cardinals aren't the Yankees. They can't do splashy, they have to be fair.
If they offer Pujols $200 for 7 years and he declines then good riddance. At that point all of his talk about just wanting to stay in St. Louis and wanting to "be like Stan" was complete bullshit.
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I'm not sure I'm with you, Fors. We could turn it around and say all the talk from ownership is bullshit because here we are, 2-3 weeks from D-Day and they haven't so much as made a single offer. I think it is entirely justified for Pujols to expect closer to market value, as the Cards push the process closer to D-Day. He carries all the risk at this point. One injury and $200-300 million dollars in equity is wiped out. It's like DeWitt is playing a game of chicken with him.
Besides, my whole 'offer' is structured around being splashy, but guaranteeing LESS money than in your, non-splashy offer.
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I'm not excusing ownership for dragging its feet. But if they make a reasonable offer, the fact that they drug their feet becomes irrelevant.
If Pujols' statement to Chad is true and the Cardinals lost out on a chance to lock Pujols up for $125M/5 years, then they have to accept the copnsequences of that. But that doesn't make $200M/7 years any less reasonable.
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Max wrote:
Besides, my whole 'offer' is structured around being splashy, but guaranteeing LESS money than in your, non-splashy offer.
Perhaps, but since your hypothetical offer violates the CBA, it's pretty meaningless.
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forsberg_us wrote:
Max wrote:
Besides, my whole 'offer' is structured around being splashy, but guaranteeing LESS money than in your, non-splashy offer.
Perhaps, but since your hypothetical offer violates the CBA, it's pretty meaningless.
How so?
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Max wrote:
forsberg_us wrote:
Max wrote:
Besides, my whole 'offer' is structured around being splashy, but guaranteeing LESS money than in your, non-splashy offer.
Perhaps, but since your hypothetical offer violates the CBA, it's pretty meaningless.
How so?
Check the bottom of the second page. Incentives cannot be based on statistics.
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tkihshbt wrote:
Max wrote:
forsberg_us wrote:
Perhaps, but since your hypothetical offer violates the CBA, it's pretty meaningless.How so?
Check the bottom of the second page. Incentives cannot be based on statistics.
I guess that is the difference in bonuses and perks? I know most major contracts have bonuses in it for finishing high or winning MVP, SS and gold gloves. I also thought many contracts had provision and vesting options for innings pitched and PA. Are those not statistics?
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Max wrote:
forsberg_us wrote:
Max wrote:
Besides, my whole 'offer' is structured around being splashy, but guaranteeing LESS money than in your, non-splashy offer.
Perhaps, but since your hypothetical offer violates the CBA, it's pretty meaningless.
How so?
I already explained that in an earlier post.