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9/29/2016 9:53 am  #1


2017

I'm not even going to bother thinking about these next four games because the season isn't going past the wild card game, if that, so it's time to start thinking about 2017. 

There's a lot of work to be done. I understood the mentality of not going for broke in 2016 when you took your shot at Price and failed, but that can't happen again in 2017. The Cardinals can't go into next season counting on Grichuk and Wong. They can keep them around as depth, but this team needs a talent infusion. They need more well-rounded players. 

The pitching staff is basically set. Wainwright and Leake aren't going anywhere. Martinez and Reyes are almost guaranteed of spots and Lynn is going to be back. That puts Wacha, Weaver and Garcia on the outside. Garcia has a reasonable option, but if they can't start him, I don't know what else they do with him. Wacha has to either be converted into a reliever or traded. Weaver can start the year in Memphis and be the first man up. Gonzales provides Triple-A depth and hopefully Cooney will recover and be additional depth.

The bullpen is a mess. They have Oh, Duke and Broxton back for sure, but Broxton sucks. Siegrist should be a trade chip. Rosenthal is an unknown. Bowman can be stashed in Triple-A. What to do here can hurt your brain. What I do know is that going into the season with those same six guys would be a recipe for disaster.

Position players...oh boy. Carpenter, Diaz and Piscotty are keepers, even if I've been frustrated with Piscotty since the beginning of July. Let's go player-by-player:

Moss has killed whatever chance he had for a three or four-year deal. I think the Cardinals can bring him back, which wouldn't be the worst thing since he can be a good spot starter and a good clubhouse guy. TK's Verdict: Bring him back.

We're three seasons into the Cardinals' committing to Adams and this is the third straight season he's been hurt or lagged considerably. He has no versatility, his plate discipline hasn't improved and he's average across the board in contact and power. TK's Verdict: Offer him in a trade to a team that thinks he can be a successful DH against righties.

Jedd Gyorko was the trade of the offseason. He's a really good defender at third base and can be quite valuable if you lose a guy to injury. But he's still a low-average, low-OBP guy and that caps his worth. TK's Verdict: Bring him back, but if someone thinks he can be a starter, trade him.

Kolten Wong is too into his head to be a successful MLB player. He's one of the best athletes on the team and easily the best infield defender, but they can't go into Season 4 of Wong trying to find his groove. TK's Verdict: Trade him.

It only took until 2016, but it looks like Cowboy was finally right about Matt Holliday. After a long, incredibly successful Cardinals career, it's time to say good-bye. TK's Verdict: Decline the option and move on.

Grichuk has the chance to be the next Mark Trumbo, and he can be a pretty good center fielder. However, this team needs more guys who can get on base and if the Cardinals could swing Eaton from the White Sox or AJ Pollock from the D'Backs, Grichuk would almost certainly be included in one of those deals. TK's Verdict: Trade him.

Peralta has one more year, has lost his power and can't play defense anymore. Trading him might be tricky even though he's only owed $10 million, but if you can, TK's Verdict is to: Trade him.

Basically, I would have Adams, Grichuk, Wong, Siegrist, Wacha and Peralta on the block. I would look into trading for Eaton, sign Fowler for left field and see if I don't have have the pieces to pull off a trade for Wil Myers or Evan Longoria. I would also consider going to a bidding war with the Dodgers or whoever for Kenley Jansen.

 

9/29/2016 10:49 am  #2


Re: 2017

Ordinarily, the first priority would be to upgrade starting pitching, but after Martinez and Reyes they're kind of flush with mediocre guys who you can neither trade nor would release. So there's not a lot you're going to do there. Hope Lynn returns to form and maybe get your 4/5 starters out of the rest of the group.
The Leake contract may prove to be the worst signing of Moz's tenure.
Then they need to address their infield defense. I may be the last holdout on Wong, but I'd keep him because he's the best glove they have on the infield. Gyorko is OK at third. Better than OK, actually. After a horrible start, Diaz is at least serviceable at short, but you need to do better than serviceable with the pitching staff they have. First base is an issue. They won't offer Moss the contract he wants and I'm like you, I've seen enough of Adams. Maybe first base is a place where you look outside the organization.
This won't go over well here, but I'd trade Carpenter. I reiterate he's killing the Cardinals with his insistence on hitting leadoff, and he's a defensive liability anywhere he plays. And he'll fetch a fair return, maybe a good defensive shortstop and/or that centerfielder you're looking for, maybe both if you throw in one of the superfluous starting pitchers.
Which means Diaz moves to left, after they decline Holliday's option. It's an adjustment for Diaz, for sure, but left field is the easiest position on the field to play.
Even with one year left on his contract, Peralta can't be moved, unless the Cardinals suck next year and they dump him to a contender at the deadline. He's going to be a spot starter at third and their right-handed bat of the bench. Grichuk becomes your fourth outfielder. 
The bullpen is going to require a substantial fix. As you say, Oh, Duke and the untrade-able Broxton are back. I'd hold on to Rosenthal for at least one more year. I liked Lyons out of the 'pen this year. The rest, not so much. Siegrist could go away and I wouldn't shed a tear. I'd like to see if Maness is right when he returns. I don't think Wacha is suited for the bullpen, due to the nature of his shoulder injury. I'm afraid the memory of 2013 is all we're ever going to get out of him.
 

Last edited by artie_fufkin (9/29/2016 10:51 am)

 

9/29/2016 11:58 am  #3


Re: 2017

Save for the home runs, Leake has been a completely serviceable pitcher. Why the Cardinals signed an extreme ground ball pitcher and paired him with a terrible infield defense will never be known, but if they can fix the left side, I think he'd be fine.

When Diaz was hitting well in April, I think I said he was the next Ryan Braun. Not in terms of production, but as a guy who came up as an infielder, but needed to be moved to left. That's probably his destiny and I think he'd be very good there. The issue is fixing shortstop. Do they call up Ian Desmond and see if he wants to switch back? 

I suppose we'll never agree on Carpenter and depending on what the Cardinals do this offseason, I think he'll be in the middle of the order. This has basically been a lost season for him since the oblique injury. It's hard to remember, but Carpenter was leading the entire league in OPS at the beginning of July. He was never going to be that good after straining the oblique, but he made himself much worse by coming back early. They would get a nice return on Carpenter, but this team needs OBP for the next five years and he provides that in spades. 

Just getting faster, more athletic and better on defense/fundamentals should be the key. That's why it's hard to part ways with Wong, because he's only going to be 26 and exactly the athletic defender they need to compete with the Cubs. But if he could be used to get one of the best, most underrated center fielders in the game (Eaton) or A.J. Pollock, that's just the price to pay. 

I'm also more optimistic on their chances for trading Peralta. For $10 million and one year, that's a pretty good player for an AL team to have around. He'll be a year removed from the thumb injury and can hit for modest power still. If they could flip Peralta for a reliever, that would be terrific. 

     Thread Starter
 

9/29/2016 12:22 pm  #4


Re: 2017

Moss/holliday-both need to be let go.  There is no place for them on this team or in the lineup.

Carp-i think he could be a decent enough first baseman.  I dont understand how he couldnt.  I dont mind him at second either.  I wouldn't go into the season as that being his position tho.

Diaz-probably a lock at ss but i like the idea of moving him to left and improving infield defense.  There isnt much out there in free agency for outfielders.  I also liked the idea of fowler.  He would bring a real leadoff hitter.

Wong/adam-  if they aint got it by now they aint going to.  Trade them both

Peralta-only owed 10mill in 17.  Should be able to move him even if the cards have to eat a little.  He might be a decent player in 2017 if his power come back.  However, this team needs some different pieces.

Grichuk-play him everyday.  He is high power, low average but he plays good cf and i dont want to see the lineup lose all of its pop.

Gyorko-start him at third unless they can upgrade that position.  Then id keep him as the super sub.

Rotation- Martinez, reyes, lynn, waino, leake.

Wacha - isnt worth a thing.  He is damaged and everyone knows it.  It is bullpen or selling cars.  That is his options.

Siegrist-has been decent to good.  Id keep him

Rosenthal- he isnt worth anything so might as well keep him too. 

Garcia- fuck you garcia.  He ruined every hope i had for him.  See ya

I think the club could realisticly get rid of adams, wong, holliday, moss, garcia and peralta.  They wont move carp.  Hopefully with those departures and shifting players to more suitable positions this team will have a different look and feel.

 

9/29/2016 12:53 pm  #5


Re: 2017

"Just getting faster, more athletic and better on defense/fundamentals should be the key."

Im affraid they will go from one extreme to another.  They had offensive problems and built a team heavy on offense. I dont think they need to take it completely the other way again.  There is such a thing as balance.

 

9/29/2016 1:19 pm  #6


Re: 2017

"But if he could be used to get one of the best, most underrated center fielders in the game (Eaton)"

I like Eaton a bunch. He'll slide in as a leadoff hitter, even though he strikes out a little too much, and he gives you speed, good defense at an important position and his red ass will provide contrast to the Christian Coalition in the clubhouse. And his contract is team-friendly. But I wonder why the White Sox would trade him.

 

Last edited by artie_fufkin (9/29/2016 1:19 pm)

 

9/29/2016 1:23 pm  #7


Re: 2017

"Carp-i think he could be a decent enough first baseman."

You would think so. But I've never seen anyone more uncomfortable at the position. He looks like a giraffe trying to learn how to ice skate.

 

9/29/2016 1:24 pm  #8


Re: 2017

"There is such a thing as balance."

Yeah, they're called the 2016 Chicago Cubs.

 

9/29/2016 2:02 pm  #9


Re: 2017

You don't know how to play first base? It's not that hard. Tell em Wash.

"It's incredibly hard."

Hey anything worth doing is, and we're gonna teach you!

 

 

9/29/2016 4:42 pm  #10


Re: 2017

Who is a better ss.  Diaz or desmond?

 

9/29/2016 4:56 pm  #11


Re: 2017

There is just nothing in the free agent market.  Neil walker and martin prado are the only real infielders.

 

9/29/2016 8:04 pm  #12


Re: 2017

artie_fufkin wrote:

"But if he could be used to get one of the best, most underrated center fielders in the game (Eaton)"

I like Eaton a bunch. He'll slide in as a leadoff hitter, even though he strikes out a little too much, and he gives you speed, good defense at an important position and his red ass will provide contrast to the Christian Coalition in the clubhouse. And his contract is team-friendly. But I wonder why the White Sox would trade him.

 

It's really a fantasy scenario and my idea is partially based on the idea that the Sox need to rebuild.

Blackmon is probably the most realistic option.

     Thread Starter
 

9/30/2016 12:19 pm  #13


Re: 2017

Jon Heyman says the Cardinals will decline Holliday's option and let him walk. Bittersweet news. 

     Thread Starter
 

10/01/2016 1:40 am  #14


Re: 2017

tkihshbt wrote:

Jon Heyman says the Cardinals will decline Holliday's option and let him walk. Bittersweet news. 

Yep, it is the right move.  Id not bat him again and let this hr be ia last at bat as a cardinal.

 

10/01/2016 11:23 am  #15


Re: 2017

APIAD wrote:

tkihshbt wrote:

Jon Heyman says the Cardinals will decline Holliday's option and let him walk. Bittersweet news. 

Yep, it is the right move.  Id not bat him again and let this hr be ia last at bat as a cardinal.

Ditto, although I'd still be willing to bring him back if he'd take a lot less on a 1-year deal with the understanding that he's a bench bat and part time 1B/LF

 

10/01/2016 2:03 pm  #16


Re: 2017

forsberg_us wrote:

APIAD wrote:

tkihshbt wrote:

Jon Heyman says the Cardinals will decline Holliday's option and let him walk. Bittersweet news. 

Yep, it is the right move.  Id not bat him again and let this hr be ia last at bat as a cardinal.

Ditto, although I'd still be willing to bring him back if he'd take a lot less on a 1-year deal with the understanding that he's a bench bat and part time 1B/LF

That might not be a bad deal if changes are made in the everyday lineup.  Probably have to fire matheny as well.  He will start him daily.

 

10/01/2016 3:35 pm  #17


Re: 2017

Speaking of 2017, if ever there was a time to try to flip Jedd Gyorko, the off-season following a 30 HR season, might be the right moment.

 

10/01/2016 4:47 pm  #18


Re: 2017

forsberg_us wrote:

Speaking of 2017, if ever there was a time to try to flip Jedd Gyorko, the off-season following a 30 HR season, might be the right moment.

He has over overachieved but i hate to see him go.  Him and grichuk are the best chance the Cardinals have of retaining power.

 

10/01/2016 6:33 pm  #19


Re: 2017

APIAD wrote:

forsberg_us wrote:

Speaking of 2017, if ever there was a time to try to flip Jedd Gyorko, the off-season following a 30 HR season, might be the right moment.

He has over overachieved but i hate to see him go.  Him and grichuk are the best chance the Cardinals have of retaining power.

Understood, but both Gyorko and Grichuk are low average, low OBP guys. It's one thing to hit .240, but walk a lot. It's another to hit 240 and walk once a week. It's tough to have 2 guys like that in the same lineup.

Honestly, I don't know I'd call it "overachieving."  I think this is exactly what San Diego envisioned him doing when they locked him up long term. Given enough at bats, he's got 25-30 HR potential. They gave up on him too soon.

 

10/02/2016 11:29 am  #20


Re: 2017

I'm with Fors: you can have one of those guys, but having both bogs down the offense. I would try and keep Gyorko of the two, but he could have big-time trade value.

     Thread Starter
 

10/02/2016 11:37 am  #21


Re: 2017

I guess my opinion would be based on what they replace one of those guys with.  Longoria type would interest me.

 

10/02/2016 3:09 pm  #22


Re: 2017

APIAD wrote:

I guess my opinion would be based on what they replace one of those guys with.  Longoria type would interest me.

Honestly, this team might benefit more from a high OBP leadoff type who plays good defense. Tk mentioned Dexter Fowler, Eaton or Pollock. This team could improve the overall offense, even if it loses a little power. Not to mention improved defense and speed.

 

10/02/2016 7:41 pm  #23


Re: 2017

I agree.  Idk that they have to give up one to get the other necessary.  They have a position open in the outfield with Holliday leaving.  They also have several options to open up spots in the infield.

 

10/03/2016 9:30 am  #24


Re: 2017

Jen Langosch said on Bernie's show this morning that the Cardinals can't have so much depth next season because it essentially overwhelms Matheny. It's probably not a good sign that you have to have more lesser players on the roster because the manager doesn't know how to use his talent. 

     Thread Starter
 

10/03/2016 10:11 am  #25


Re: 2017

tkihshbt wrote:

Jen Langosch said on Bernie's show this morning that the Cardinals can't have so much depth next season because it essentially overwhelms Matheny. It's probably not a good sign that you have to have more lesser players on the roster because the manager doesn't know how to use his talent. 

I was depressed anyway, then I read this message and I got pissed. 
Yeah, let's water down the roster so the fucking manager doesn't get confused.
WTF. 

 

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