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Moz is batting 1.000 for contracts to starting pitchers that start out looking good, but look worse and worse in the subsequent months.
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I don't get it...
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The price for short-term, veteran, starting pitching has been quite low this year. Westbrook, his contract, and the fact that we had to trade Ludwick to get him, are looking very expensive by comparison.
We could have economized on starters, trusted the season to Wainwright, Carpenter, Garcia, and some low-hanging fruit, and had an extra several million dollars to add depth to the bench, left-side defense, and or LHP in the bullpen.
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So you're suggesting that they should have dumpster-dived on an injury prone pitcher, thus creating a hole when that pitcher inevitably went on the DL?
Isn't that what they tried last year with Penny?
You do realize that quality of pitcher factors into cost, don't you? The fact that a bunch of crappy pitchers signed for cheap doesn't mean the market is deflated.
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Punto accomplishes the left side defense and will do it quite well. I was initially wrong about him, but that was a solid defensive addition.
I don't think leaving the rotation in the hands of three injury-prone starters, Wainwright and 36-year-old Freddy Garcia is a good idea.
And it's not like the market was overfilled with great LH relievers, either.
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There have been lots of back of the rotation starters sign one year deals on the cheap this offseason, we could have had 3 or 4 for what we paid for Westbrook . . . not to mention that we would not have had to trade anybody at all as they are free agents. The Ludwick trade was a poor one, and the need to sign Westbrook, to justify the trade, has simply made the trade all that much more expensive.
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Jake Westbrook is also better -- and substantially so -- than those other pitchers.
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He'd better put up much better numbers or Moz will look worse than he already does.
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Being better than Freddy Garcia or Bruce Chen isn't that hard.
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Max wrote:
There have been lots of back of the rotation starters sign one year deals on the cheap this offseason, we could have had 3 or 4 for what we paid for Westbrook
Westbrook wasn't signed to be a back of the rotation starter. He was signed to be a #3 who pitches 200 competent innings and takes pressure off of a 2nd year pitcher who is 2 years removed from TJ surgery.
The fact that Aaron Harang or Freddie Garcia signed for less is irrelevant. Bad pitchers are abundant and they get paid less for a reason. If you think Westbrook would have signed a 1 year deal for $5 million had the Cardinals not signed him, you're uninformed.
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When I saw this thread I thought the Cardinals signed Jamie Garcia to a 5.1 million deal. I didnt get that because he is only a second year player. Then I thought it was about Fred Garcia signing with the Cardinals and I like the idea of adding another pitcher but questioned the price. Then after actually reading I saw that it was about the Yankees overpaying for a marginal player and I stopped caring.
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Not suggesting that ESPN is the supreme source of baseball information, but here are their rankings of free agents going into this off-season. Note where Westbrook ranks and note that none of those other "back of the rotation" guys make it to the Top 50. Also compare what Westbrook signed for an what other starters comparable in rank signed for.
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My main point is that Mozeliak is making choices, taking risks, as he is supposed to do, and I see a strong potential for these to backfire and to be used against him in the ubiquitous game of office politics. Let's face it, he hasn't brought much success to St. Louis. So, if Westbrook and Berkman perform great, Moz is vindicated. If not, there will be a lot of what if's.
One 'what if' that leaps out at me just looking at that list is what if we had gone after Fuentes and 1-2 of those budget SP (aware that several of those budget SP have had great success in the past)?
To me, Westbrook is just another horse who slots in at 3-4 in the rotation, pitches 200 innings, and if the team is good, he wins some games. He's Jeff Suppan. We shouldn't have had to trade anybody to get him, let alone our one tradable chit with any value.
As for the rankings, I note that Westbrook is the highest ranked, unranked FA on the list. Everyone above is a type A FA, and six or more of those below him are also Type A.
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forsberg_us wrote:
He was signed to be a #3
Just out of curiosity, who do you see him starting in front of, Wainwright, Carpenter, or Garcia?
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forsberg_us wrote:
Also compare what Westbrook signed for an what other starters comparable in rank signed for.
Yeah, I saw that. Pavano is ranked higher and signed for the same money.
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forsberg_us wrote:
So you're suggesting that they should have dumpster-dived on an injury prone pitcher, thus creating a hole when that pitcher inevitably went on the DL?
People sometimes forget that the key to dumpster diving is quantity. They did that a bit toward the end in signing Batista and Snell.
Frankly, it's a stretch to call Westbrook a whole lot better than a dumpster dive. He's a little better, but not much. Lifetime 73-75, 4.29 ERA, .275 BAA. This guy is so average they should use his face to illustrate the word in the dictionary.
Last edited by Max (2/02/2011 2:35 pm)
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One 'what if' that leaps out at me just looking at that list is what if we had gone after Fuentes and 1-2 of those budget SP (aware that several of those budget SP have had great success in the past)?
Carl Pavano signed for the exact same contract as Westbrook. The other pitchers you're talking about all come with a lot more risk. Garcia is 36 and not very good. Jeff Francis is coming off a significant injury, as is Chris Capuano.
To me, Westbrook is just another horse who slots in at 3-4 in the rotation, pitches 200 innings, and if the team is good, he wins some games. He's Jeff Suppan. We shouldn't have had to trade anybody to get him, let alone our one tradable chit with any value.
He's actually worlds better than Suppan. Watch a game pitched by Suppan then one pitched by Westbrook and tell me you don't see the difference.
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Max wrote:
Yeah, I saw that. Pavano is ranked higher and signed for the same money.
And in the previous four seasons he started 59 games.
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Max wrote:
forsberg_us wrote:
He was signed to be a #3
Just out of curiosity, who do you see him starting in front of, Wainwright, Carpenter, or Garcia?
Garcia. Mainly because of his inexperience.
Understand then when I call Westbrook the #3, that doesn't necessarily mean he starts game #3 of the season. I don't think it's a big stretch to argue that Garcia and Lohse be separated to avoid wear on the bullpen. I'm thinking more along the lines of if the team made the playoffs, who would I expect to start game #3.
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Are we really debating F. Garcia as a usable pitcher to this team? If the Cardinals signed him it would be in the Batista/Snell role at best Loshe/5th starter. Not the Westbrook role. Paying 5-10 million for Snell, Batista, loshe (even though they are pay that) or a 5th starter is a bad move.
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tkihshbt wrote:
He's actually worlds better than Suppan. Watch a game pitched by Suppan then one pitched by Westbrook and tell me you don't see the difference.
Done:
I'm not saying that Suppan today and Westbrook today are comparable. I'm saying Westbrook now is about what Suppan was when we signed him. I was in favor of signing Suppan, but we didn't have to trade anyone to get him.
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APRTW wrote:
Are we really debating F. Garcia as a usable pitcher to this team?
That's not what I'm debating. The team has a lot of holes and I am questioning if plunking down $8.5 million for a starter, $8 million for a highly questionable RF, and then having little or nothing left over for the left side of the infield, LHP in bullpen, and bench, was the right idea. I hope Moz was right, but I think the fact that he made a questionable trade to get Westbrook pushed him to take the next step and make a questionable FA signing that committed half of our budget flexibility to another SP.
Last edited by Max (2/02/2011 4:57 pm)
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Wait, Suppan in 2010 or Suppan in 2004? Because he's closer to that version of Suppan than the Suppan who was topping out at 86 mph and saying a Hail Mary every time a batter made contact.
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tkihshbt wrote:
Wait, Suppan in 2010 or Suppan in 2004?
C'mon. LOL.
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Huh?