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2/04/2011 2:34 am  #51


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

Max it must be wonderful to be able to sit 2,000 miles away and tell me what I'm trying to do.  But since you aren't nearly as wonderful or as smart as you think.  This has nothing to do with Walt Jocketty.  Let me help you.

You said: Westbrook trade bad then and now

Me said: Don't think many believe so now

You said: It obvious. Team not make playoffs.  Could have signed Westbrook and traded Ludwick for other parts.  Obvious bad trade

Me said:  Holliday trade pretty much same.  Win 0 playoff game.  Could have signed Holliday and traded Wallace, etc... for other parts.

Me ask question (still not answered): That make Holliday trade a bad trade?

You say: Made playoffs with Holliday

Me say: What point of making playoffs if no win games

You say: GM fault if no win playoff games, but trade good if make playoffs

Me ask question (still unanswered): If trade good, do GM who make trade get credit?

You say: Jocketty treated mean after Mulder trade (Me not sure where Jocketty comment come from, but for record, me thought Mulder trade was good idea.)

Back to original point: If Westbrook trade =  bad trade because no make playoffs and could have signed after season, then why not Holliday trade bad trade when team get swept in LDS and could have signed Holliday after season?

 

2/04/2011 2:49 am  #52


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

APRTW wrote:

forsberg_us wrote:

APRTW wrote:

I would have ranked Perez and Dempster as worst pitchers then Loshe.

I won't argue Perez because there's too much room for interpretation.  But I'd be curious to know on what you base your opinion that Dempster was worse than Lohse following the 2008 season (Cubby stench aside).  Here were their 2008 numbers:

Dempster- 17-6, 2.96 ERA, 206.2 IP, 187 K, 1.21 WHIP, .227 BAA.
Lohse- 15-6, 3.78 ERA, 200 IP, 119 K, 1.30 WHIP, .272 BAA

Dempster pitched in the All-Star Game and finished 6th in the Cy Young voting.  Lohse was not an All-Star and did not receive a single Cy Young vote.

Because Dempster hadnt been a good starter in damn near 10 years.  Sure he had a great year and he wasnt a bad starter 9 season prior.  However if I am going to pay a guy over 13 million dollars a year for 4 years I would rather pay a guy with a history of bening averagely good and just had a great season  then a guy who puts together a great season every 9 years.  It is easy to see fault with that now but at the time it was a different story.

That's a little bit of revisionist history Albert.  Dempster didn't start the 4 years prior to 08.  He did, however, record 85 saves over a 3 year period so it isn't exactly like he was awful during that time period. 

But if you're going to look at track records, at least look at both pitchers.  It wasn't like Lohse had been very good prior to 2008

2007- 9-12, 4.62 ERA
2006- 5-10, 5.83 ERA
2005- 9-13, 4.18 ERA
2004- 9-13, 5.34 ERA
2003- 14-11, 4.61 ERA
2002- 13-8, 4.23 ERA

Lohse was pretty below average before having one great season and getting a 4 year contract.

 

2/04/2011 8:56 am  #53


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

That is my point about Dempster.  After not starting for four years he has a great year and you think he can live up to a four year contract as a starting pitcher.  Loshe and Dempster are about the same pitcher for their career.  I wasnt impressed with Dempster in the bullpen.  He got over 50 of those saves while posting a near 5ERA. 

Here are there 162 game averages.

Loshe 11-12, 4.79 ERA, 191 innings
Dempster 9-9, 4.37 ERA, 168 innings


There isnt much difference there.  I would have give the 4 year contract to Loshe before Dempster because of a steady history as a starter instead of a guy who had bounced around from pen to rotation.  Loshe is also a couple years younger.  By giving those guys contract like they got the teams are asking the two players to pitch better then they ever had.  Picking which one would fullfill the expectations of their conrtact at the time of the signing could have been settled by flipping a coin.  Personally I would have guessed Loshe with the Cardinals over Dempster with the Cubs but it is easy to see how that is turning out.

 

2/04/2011 10:48 am  #54


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

AP, I think we're largely saying the same thing.  Probably neither of them merited a 4 year deal.  But as you said, Duncan probably saw something in Lohse and the Cubs' personnel probably saw something in Dempster.

This whole conversation has blown into something more than it ever should have been.  I just don't understand how Max can argue that the Westbrook contract is a mistake while arguing that Lohse's wasn't.  Locking up Westbrook for 2 years plus an option gives the team the ability to avoid combing the waiver wires while not having to fret over the risks of Westbrook taking a line drive of his forearm 2 months into the deal.

 

2/04/2011 11:12 am  #55


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

I dont see Westbrook's contract as a mistake at all.  I dont think they over paid for him either.  Sure some pitchers might have gone for less but as in the Loshe signing the club thinks they know what they are getting.  That is why they are willing to go after guys that have spent time on the team instead of chasing FA.  There is some value in the known. 

I think they spent more in money and years on Loshe then he was worth.  However with the pitching market at the time and team's needs I understand why they did it.  I also think Loshe would mean alot to this team if he was plunked in arm.

 

2/04/2011 11:35 am  #56


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

forsberg_us wrote:

You say: GM fault if no win playoff games, but trade good if make playoffs

Insults and simplifications aside, this is where you don't get it.

     Thread Starter
 

2/04/2011 11:36 am  #57


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

forsberg_us wrote:

I just don't understand how Max can argue that the Westbrook contract is a mistake while arguing that Lohse's wasn't.

This is also where you are still not getting it.

     Thread Starter
 

3/13/2011 1:37 pm  #58


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

Garcia's line vs. Mutts :

4 IN
9 H
8 R
7 ER
0 BB
2 K's
2 HR

 

3/13/2011 2:40 pm  #59


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

I know now is the time to be high about your team but I am not feeling it.  I think the offense will be better then last year.  How could it be worst?

However I dont see Garcia posting a sub 3 era.  Carp is regressing and his 3.2 era over 235inning and an injury free year is going to be hard to match.  Westbrook might be a 3.5 era pitcher but you cant expect any more then that from him.

 

3/13/2011 3:15 pm  #60


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

I have seen one of the PD's prognosticators lay it all out and it is not doom and gloom.  I won't get it exactly, but roughly:

Carp and Westbrook need to pitch about 400-440 innings, and have an ERA around 3.5 combined.  Garcia and Lohse need to pitch about 360 innings with an ERA around 4.0 combined.  #5 needs to pitch around 160 with an ERA around 4-5. So, SP will be a bit noticeably worse, but still serviceable by the standards of other teams.  Then the offense needs to be noticeably better, and the defense needs to be able to make the routine plays.  Then, let luck takes its course.  We ain't the Phillies, but we are still competitive in the NLC.

     Thread Starter
 

3/13/2011 5:12 pm  #61


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

don.rob11 wrote:

Garcia's line vs. Mutts :

4 IN
9 H
8 R
7 ER
0 BB
2 K's
2 HR

The line is a little deceptive because there was a fly ball that got lost in the sun that turned into a couple of runs, but it's still not good.

 

3/13/2011 5:19 pm  #62


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

Everything on the mound, including McClellan's conversion to a starter, has to break right and no one can get hurt. The other disconcerting thing is who replaces McClellan's spot in the bullpen.
There are major defensive concerns in the middle of the infield and in RF, and another injury to Freese is a huge problem.
And I'm not sure competing in the NLC is the same as it was. As loathesome as they are, the Reds are pretty darn good, and the Brewers ought to have much better starting pitching.
The Cardinals are a third place club right now.

 

3/13/2011 8:43 pm  #63


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

artie_fufkin wrote:

Everything on the mound, including McClellan's conversion to a starter, has to break right and no one can get hurt. The other disconcerting thing is who replaces McClellan's spot in the bullpen.
There are major defensive concerns in the middle of the infield and in RF, and another injury to Freese is a huge problem.
And I'm not sure competing in the NLC is the same as it was. As loathesome as they are, the Reds are pretty darn good, and the Brewers ought to have much better starting pitching.
The Cardinals are a third place club right now.

I agree except about Freese.  Matt Carpenter seems to be pushing his way into consideration.  Caig is hitting this spring as well.  If that carries over into the regular season I am alot happier about third base then I was last year at this time.  Nobody really wants to rush Carpenter or watch Craig fumble grounders but it is alot better then watching Thurston or Feliz.

One of the more concerning things to be is Motte.  If McCellan is going to the rotation this roster really needs him to set up.  If not him then Boggs or Salas is going to have to fill that role.  Boggs has been able to get much work yet do to his injury.

I think the 25 man is pretty much set.

SS Theriot
CF Rasmus
1B Pujols
LF Holliday
RF Berkman
C Molina
3B Freese
2B Skip

2B, SS, 3B,CF Greene
RF, LF, 3B Craig
RF, CF, LF Jay
C Laird


SP Carp
SP Westbrook
SP Loshe
SP Garcia
SP McCellan

CL Franklin
SU Motte
SU Salas
MI Boggs
LS Miller
LS Tallet
MI/LR Batista

the question really in my mind is if they will go with Daniel Descalso or a 13th pitcher.  Matt Carpenter isnt going to get on the opening day roster because they want him to play everyday and the also want to see if Freese can live up to what little we have seen of him.  Only one of those guys can be stored in the minors.  Carpenter might get a chance if freese sucks or gets injured.  If it is a 13th pitcher it is really anyones guess who that could be.

 

3/14/2011 11:38 am  #64


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

"it is alot better then watching Thurston or Feliz."

Undoubtedly, but Tone being Tone, he'll probably play Punto or pull some other has-been off the pile rather than send out Carpenter full-time. Craig is going to have his hands full in right field, since that's where he and Jay are going to be platooning once the Pillsbury Dough Boy goes down.

 

3/14/2011 9:02 pm  #65


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

Artie what do you think about the Dice K rumors?  I havent watched him in a while since he plays in a league that doesnt matter.  I know he was killer when he first came over and hitters didnt have a book on him.  If he accepted a trade to the Cardinals he would be pitching in a pitcher friendly ballpark and league.  Hitters would also not have seen him before.  I just dont know if he is a top of the rotation pitcher anymore.  I believe he is a Boras guy but I think Boras would be in favor of such a trade in his walk year.  The rumor I read said that the red Sox's are looking to built the catcher position within their system.  Anderson might fit that mold.  He is clearly useless to the Cardinals. 

Other pitcher to be had are Millwood who still doesnt have a contract and Oliver Perez who is going to be released by the mets.  Both of those guys are projects with lower ceilings.  Dice K at the level he pitch when he came to the league would give the Cardinals a fair one two punch.

 

3/14/2011 11:46 pm  #66


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

APRTW wrote:

Artie what do you think about the Dice K rumors?  I havent watched him in a while since he plays in a league that doesnt matter.  I know he was killer when he first came over and hitters didnt have a book on him.  If he accepted a trade to the Cardinals he would be pitching in a pitcher friendly ballpark and league.  Hitters would also not have seen him before.  I just dont know if he is a top of the rotation pitcher anymore.  I believe he is a Boras guy but I think Boras would be in favor of such a trade in his walk year.  The rumor I read said that the red Sox's are looking to built the catcher position within their system.  Anderson might fit that mold.  He is clearly useless to the Cardinals. 

Other pitcher to be had are Millwood who still doesnt have a contract and Oliver Perez who is going to be released by the mets.  Both of those guys are projects with lower ceilings.  Dice K at the level he pitch when he came to the league would give the Cardinals a fair one two punch.

The only rumors I've heard about Dice K is that his family may have been crushed in the rubble from the earthquake.
Dice K's main problem is he's afraid to throw strikes. He's got great stuff, but he nibbles. So he runs up high pitch counts and lasts about five innings. Sound familiar?
Durability is also an issue with Dice K. The Japanese leagues apparently use 6-man rotations, and he's never made the adjustment to MLB's 5-man rotation. So he gets fatigued and sits on the shelf with nagging injuries, to the point the Red Sox have almost learned to prepare for life without him. If a healthy Daisuke shows up, that's a bonus. But counting on him to take the ball every fifth day and give them quality starts over the course of an entire season is like counting on winning the lottery.
There are also cultural concerns. Dice K has been here for what, five years now? And he still needs an interpreter and claims to not speak a stitch of English. You'd think he'd have assimilated a little bit more than that, but he either hasn't tried, or he's sand-bagging to avoid the media (which could also be very likely). Boston ain't exactly Tokyo West, but there's probably a larger Japanese contingent here than there is in St. Louis, so a move to the Midwest might scare the shit out of him.
I don't think Dice K's money is an issue with the Red Sox. About half of what they paid for him was the posting fee to his Japanese club, and they're only on the hook for the last two years of his contract, which I think has a base of about $10 million per, plus incentives that seem ludicrous now like if he wins the Cy Young or MVP. He's got a better chance of getting his MBE from the queen.
As far as a trade with the Cardinals is concerned, they need a catcher now, which means they'd ask for Molina. So that ain't happening.

 

3/15/2011 8:44 am  #67


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

Source: Red Sox open to trade talksEmail Print Comments171 By Gordon Edes
ESPNBoston.com
Archive
FORT MYERS, Fla. -- With less than three weeks to the April 1 regular-season opener, the Boston Red Sox have let it be known that a number of players could be available in a trade, according to a major league source.

The Red Sox would move pitcher Daisuke Matsuzaka, who has a full no-trade clause, if they could add to their young catching inventory, the source said. Veteran Tim Wakefield is on the bubble, according to the source, and might be available for left-handed relief help. The Sox would also consider moving one of their two veteran right-handed hitting outfielders, Mike Cameron or Darnell McDonald, with interest in Cameron expected to increase as he plays more. Cameron was starting in left field here Saturday. With young outfielders Ryan Kalish and Josh Reddick still having options, the team's thinking is it could afford to lose one of the veterans, with Cameron obviously having the most value in a trade.

Red Sox general manager Theo Epstein on Saturday night vigorously dismissed the accuracy of the ESPNBoston.com report, calling it "false."

The source said the Red Sox would also listen to any offers on veteran shortstop Marco Scutaro, who at the moment is projected as Opening Day shortstop. The Red Sox have options in Jed Lowrie and top prospect Jose Iglesias, who could play defensively on the big league level right now. Scutaro's versatility -- he can also play second and third -- might make him attractive to teams in need of infield help.


Red Sox: Spring Training 2011



As all eyes turn to Fort Myers to watch the Red Sox prepare for the season, ESPNBoston.com has you covered!
Spring Training Center | Sox blog

Matsuzaka's future may depend on whether the club decides it has enough starting depth in the rotation. They have Wakefield, promising left-hander Felix Doubront, former Yankee Alfredo Aceves, who will start Monday night against the Yanks, and Michael Bowden, described by the source as a "grinder.'' Bowden pitched two scoreless innings Friday in Kissimmee, striking out two. Andrew Miller could also start the season as a starter in Pawtucket, though the bullpen appears a more likely destination.

Matsuzaka is 0-1 with a 11.42 ERA in three spring starts, so teams aren't exactly falling all over themselves in pursuit of the Japanese right-hander. He gave up five runs on five hits in 3 2/3 innings, and averaged just a touch over 89 miles an hour on his fastball, well below the velocity he showed when he first came to the Red Sox four years ago.

"His rhythm was all out of whack,'' the source said. "I don't know if it's because that's what the team wants, but I think he's become too much of a conventional pitcher. He's got to go back to pitching 'left-handed' again, dropping down at times, throwing from all kinds of angles, turning the ball over. He's not doing that as much.''

Matsuzaka is due to be paid $10 million in 2011. His salary, no-trade clause and performance all would make a trade difficult. The Red Sox almost surely would have to eat a significant portion of that contract. Matsuzaka became the first Japanese pitcher to win a World Series game in 2007 after going 15-12 in his debut season. He went 18-3 with a 2.90 ERA as an encore in 2008. But the past two seasons have been a downward spiral in which Matsuzaka has been out of shape, hurt, ineffective or all of the above, the wins coming with infrequency -- four in 2009, nine last season.

Aceves is becoming an intriguing candidate. The Yankees nontendered him because of back issues, but Aceves insisted that he knew his back was OK at the end of last season, and he could have pitched in the playoffs. Another big league source said the Yankees also thought that Aceves would need more time to recover from a bicycle accident in which he fractured his collarbone and had concerns that his shoulder also was hurt in the fall, but the Red Sox pounced when they determined he was healthy.

The Red Sox are leaning toward having Aceves open the season as a starter in Triple-A. If he continues to progress, he would offer the Red Sox a viable alternative to Matsuzaka.

Wakefield's future could well depend on whether the Red Sox keep one or two left-handers in the bullpen. Manager Terry Francona has always expressed a preference for two, but usually qualifies that by saying it's not essential if he has a righty who is effective in getting lefties out.

Hideki Okajima would appear to have one job, and Dennys Reyes, signed by the Sox after he failed his physical with the Phillies, has been unscored upon in three spring outings. Reyes is in El Guapo-like shape, but he has a proven track record (4.18 ERA in 669 appearances for 10 big-league teams). More importantly, as WEEI's Rob Bradford was the first to report, he has a March 26 opt-out clause in his contract. If the Red Sox don't keep him, someone will grab him.

The only Red Sox players in camp who are out of options are Matt Albers, Bobby Jenks, and Darnell McDonald. Albers, the former Oriole, signed a one-year big league deal for $875,000, and has given up just one run in four spring appearances, allowing five hits in 5 1/3 innings while striking out five. Albers would have to clear waivers in order for the Red Sox to send him to Pawtucket.

The Sox are expected to keep 12 pitchers: five starters and seven pitchers in the pen. Jonathan Papelbon, Daniel Bard, Jenks, and Dan Wheeler are locks in the pen. Wakefield, who has said he would not play for another team, would appear to be in line for a fifth spot. Two lefties would mean no spot for Albers and Scott Atchison, who has options left but is well regarded by Francona. Rich Hill and Randy Williams are two veterans along with Reyes competing for a left-handed spot; Hill is throwing sidearm now, which has added a good deal of deception, but his command still needs some work, the source said.

 

3/15/2011 9:46 am  #68


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

Interesting stuff. Scutaro would be an upgrade, at least defensively, from Theriot. I might have some mild interest in McDonald, but only if he can play RF. As far as I know, he's only played left. Cameron's days as an every day player are over.
Wakefield's value is his flexibility. He could probably pitch every game if he needed to, but his results are always a mixed bag. Somone once said the problem with knuckleballers is they're too streaky, and Wakefield tends to be very good for about a month and horrible in between.
Again, the problem the Cardinals have in making a trade with the Red Sox is Young Theo would want a catcher who is capable of starting 120 games. The only person who fits that criterion is Molina, and if they consider themselves contenders in the NL Central I just can't see the Cardinals parting with Yadi unless Lester or Buchholz comes over.

 

3/15/2011 10:09 am  #69


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

It would be hard to add a bottom rotation guy to the Cardinals.  The only guy who hasnt pitched well this spring is Garcia and he will be cut some slack after what he did last year.  I thought Dice K would be interesting because of his cieling and lack of interest he would draw from other clubs.  After looking at the Red Sox roster I see why they really need a major league catcher.  The Cardinals dont have that.  Trading Molina now would surely push Pujols out the door.  Wakefield could still be interesting on the roster.  I dont think Duncan would want to coach a knuckleballer.  There are alot of names in that story.  I wonder if the Red Sox are really this open to wheeling and dealing.  They sure do stock up there roster for spring training.

 

3/15/2011 11:30 am  #70


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

Another thing to remember is the Boston fans and media have lately tended toward adopting the Cubbie mentality of considering any team beneath the Red Sox on the payroll ladder their own farm team. Theo rarely talks to the press anymore, and he never talks about transactions before they happen, so the media gets bored and tends to cook up fantasy deals.

"I dont think Duncan would want to coach a knuckleballer."

There's not much coaching you can do with a knuckleballer other than remind him to get a manicure every other day. I think you're right, but Duncan tends to surprise me every once in awhile. For instance, he's been patient with Motte, certainly far more patient than we've been with him at times. I'd wager the capricious nature of a knuckleball would drive Tony nuts faster than it would Duncan.

 

3/15/2011 8:56 pm  #71


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

"Boston starter Daisuke Matsuzaka(notes) pitched five shutout innings in his first solid start of the spring. He entered the game with an 11.42 ERA, but allowed only two hits, striking out five.

“I was placing my pitches today,† Matsuzaka said through his translator. “I was able to throw strikes. That’s all I need to do.â€

See, AP. As soon as you write him off, this is what he does. He's an ulcer waiting to happen.

 

7/21/2011 9:25 am  #72


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

forsberg_us wrote:

Max wrote:

There have been lots of back of the rotation starters sign one year deals on the cheap this offseason, we could have had 3 or 4 for what we paid for Westbrook

Westbrook wasn't signed to be a back of the rotation starter. He was signed to be a #3 who pitches 200 competent innings and takes pressure off of a 2nd year pitcher who is 2 years removed from TJ surgery.

The fact that Aaron Harang or Freddie Garcia signed for less is irrelevant. Bad pitchers are abundant and they get paid less for a reason. If you think Westbrook would have signed a 1 year deal for $5 million had the Cardinals not signed him, you're uninformed.

Hindsight is always 20/20, but being right or wrong is different from being ridiculed for simply having made the observation:

                 IP            H    R    ER    HR    BB    K    ERA    WHIP    BAA   
Chen:           73.2    76    32    27    9    24    44    3.30    1.36    .270   
Harang:        98.1    94    38    36    9    32    70    3.29    1.28    .254    
Garcia:       103.2      105    41    37    9    31    69    3.21    1.31    .264   
Westbrook: 102.2         122    64    60    12    40    57    5.26    1.58    .298

Last edited by Max (7/22/2011 5:10 pm)

     Thread Starter
 

7/21/2011 11:12 am  #73


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

Looks like someone woke up with his panties in a wad today.

But if you want to go there, please provide something showing the basic assertion that "Westbrook wasn't signed to be a back of the rotation starter" is false.  Performance doesn't dictate intent.  Please remind me who started the 2nd game of the season for the Cardinals. 

Jesus, quit being such a whiny douchebag.

 

7/21/2011 12:06 pm  #74


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

You forget, Fors, the basic assertion is that Westbrook was signed to make the Ludwick trade look better than it was.  Thus, Moz was quick to give Westbrook a favorable contract when many other SP were signed for much less. 

Realize that I don't object to a good argument.  I object to your persistent ad hominem arguments, even when I turn out to have been right.

Who is being the whiny douchebag?  Just admit you were probably wrong about all that and spare us all the drama.

Last edited by Max (7/21/2011 12:07 pm)

     Thread Starter
 

7/21/2011 1:38 pm  #75


Re: Garcia signs for 1 year, up 10 $5.1 with incentives

Max wrote:

Who is being the whiny douchebag?

The guy who went 9 pages deep to dig up a thread that had been dormant for four months and used 6 month old quotes in an attempt to pat himself on the back while seeking sympathy.

 

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