Most of the experts expect:

more IP
more wins
higher ERA

I liked Borowski: "There was a very low “fluke† quotient attached to Garcia last year . . . . If his ERA rises into the mid-3.00s but his workload climbs toward 200 innings, I think the Cardinals would accept that tradeoff – it will probably translate into more wins for the team."

No sophomore jinx for Jaime Garcia.

http://www.stltoday.com/sports/columns/round-two/article_5fd6998c-33b6-11e0-b3e7-0017a4a78c22.html