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12/22/2018 9:15 am  #151


Re: 2019

These trades confuse me

Reds got:

Kemp - 22 million
Puig - 7.5 million
Wood - 6 million
+7mill

Dodgers got:

Baily - 23 million

So if you figure a couple million dollar raise for puig and wood the red salary intake is 32.5 million when you figure in the 7 million cash they also received.

The dodgers would only save 5.5 million.  Thats not a lot of salary relief.

 

12/22/2018 10:17 am  #152


Re: 2019

I think it's a good deal for the Reds. They get rid of Bailey's salary and don't have financial commitments to Kemp or Puig beyond this year. They get a decent left-handed pitcher. The Dodgers have to eat Bailey's contract - MLBN is reporting he's already been released, but they off-load Kemp's salary and Puig's baggage to make room for their younger players, and maybe go after Harper. And they get a couple of prospects from the Reds. 

     Thread Starter
 

12/22/2018 10:19 am  #153


Re: 2019

Well the reds at least have an outfield now.

 

12/22/2018 11:28 am  #154


Re: 2019

APIAD wrote:

These trades confuse me

Reds got:

Kemp - 22 million
Puig - 7.5 million
Wood - 6 million
+7mill

Dodgers got:

Baily - 23 million

So if you figure a couple million dollar raise for puig and wood the red salary intake is 32.5 million when you figure in the 7 million cash they also received.

The dodgers would only save 5.5 million.  Thats not a lot of salary relief.

Puig and Wood are projected to make between $22-24M this season. Bailey’s number for purposes of the luxury tax is on $17.5M (its the AAV of his contract). The Dodgers get about $20M in luxury tax relief. Plus they create room on their roster.

 

12/22/2018 11:34 am  #155


Re: 2019

forsberg_us wrote:

APIAD wrote:

These trades confuse me

Reds got:

Kemp - 22 million
Puig - 7.5 million
Wood - 6 million
+7mill

Dodgers got:

Baily - 23 million

So if you figure a couple million dollar raise for puig and wood the red salary intake is 32.5 million when you figure in the 7 million cash they also received.

The dodgers would only save 5.5 million.  Thats not a lot of salary relief.

Puig and Wood are projected to make between $22-24M this season. Bailey’s number for purposes of the luxury tax is on $17.5M (its the AAV of his contract). The Dodgers get about $20M in luxury tax relief. Plus they create room on their roster.

Thats a hell of raise for puig and wood but it does make the trade make sense to me.

I dont see this as doing much for the reds.  They are not going to be above average.  It does give them 2 pieces to dish out at the deadline if they produce.

 

12/22/2018 12:15 pm  #156


Re: 2019

APIAD wrote:

forsberg_us wrote:

APIAD wrote:

These trades confuse me

Reds got:

Kemp - 22 million
Puig - 7.5 million
Wood - 6 million
+7mill

Dodgers got:

Baily - 23 million

So if you figure a couple million dollar raise for puig and wood the red salary intake is 32.5 million when you figure in the 7 million cash they also received.

The dodgers would only save 5.5 million.  Thats not a lot of salary relief.

Puig and Wood are projected to make between $22-24M this season. Bailey’s number for purposes of the luxury tax is on $17.5M (its the AAV of his contract). The Dodgers get about $20M in luxury tax relief. Plus they create room on their roster.

Thats a hell of raise for puig and wood but it does make the trade make sense to me.

I dont see this as doing much for the reds.  They are not going to be above average.  It does give them 2 pieces to dish out at the deadline if they produce.

Cots projects Puig at $12.5 and Wood at $9.5. Obviously those are just guesses, but they’re usually pretty close.

 

12/27/2018 1:11 am  #157


Re: 2019

Predicting Cardinals leaders.

Hr ....  carp
Rbis ...  Goldschmidt
BA ....   Goldschmidt
Sb ....   bader
Bb ...  Goldschmidt
So ....  carp


Wins ....  Mikolas
Innings .. Mikolas
K's. ....  flats
Era ....   wacha
Saved ...  neither hicks or miller
Dl time .. waino, runner up reyes

 

12/27/2018 11:00 am  #158


Re: 2019

Here’s an interesting tidbit I got over the weekend and how it plays out will speak volumes about the front ofice’s commitment to winning versus its commitment to putting on a front for the fans

Apparently Martinez wants to close. Schildt wants him to close, and most of the coaching staff wants him to close. Martinez doesn’t want to put in the work he needs to put in to be a top of the rotation starter. He’s lazy. He doesn’t like to show up early to the ballpark and he doesn’t like attending the pregame strategy meeting to get ready for facing a lineup 3 or 4 times. Hence his inconsistency. But as the closer, he can get away with being lazy and get by on pure stuff.

Problem is the front office wants him to start. If he’s a successful starter, then Moz looks smart signing him to an extension because he’s pitching at a bargain price. If he’s in the bullpen, his salary isn’t a bargain and the extension doesn’t look as good. Since Moz has missed on most of the recent extensions, he’s desperate for a “win” even if it means forcing a square peg into a round hole.

Chad’s wish list—let Martinez close and go sign an established starter to fill the last spot in the rotation. But it’s unlikely to happen.

 

12/27/2018 11:10 am  #159


Re: 2019

Martinez closing seems like a no brainer.  It would satisfy my opinion that they need another top shelf bullpen arm because hicks isnt ready.  Also allows miller to step into the bounce around roll that he has been successful at in the past.  Also adding a top shelf starter would put the team on the map.  Carlos is such an unknown.

 

12/27/2018 11:53 am  #160


Re: 2019

forsberg_us wrote:

Here’s an interesting tidbit I got over the weekend and how it plays out will speak volumes about the front ofice’s commitment to winning versus its commitment to putting on a front for the fans

Apparently Martinez wants to close. Schildt wants him to close, and most of the coaching staff wants him to close. Martinez doesn’t want to put in the work he needs to put in to be a top of the rotation starter. He’s lazy. He doesn’t like to show up early to the ballpark and he doesn’t like attending the pregame strategy meeting to get ready for facing a lineup 3 or 4 times. Hence his inconsistency. But as the closer, he can get away with being lazy and get by on pure stuff.

I believe the Orioles guy whose real name I couldn't recall was Don Stanback or something like that.  Earl Weaver called referred to him as "Full Pack."

Problem is the front office wants him to start. If he’s a successful starter, then Moz looks smart signing him to an extension because he’s pitching at a bargain price. If he’s in the bullpen, his salary isn’t a bargain and the extension doesn’t look as good. Since Moz has missed on most of the recent extensions, he’s desperate for a “win” even if it means forcing a square peg into a round hole.

Chad’s wish list—let Martinez close and go sign an established starter to fill the last spot in the rotation. But it’s unlikely to happen.

Interesting.  It seems like baseball has a history of flakes who performed well as closers for a period of time.  Grover Cleveland Alexander, though I don't know how much of my opinion of him is Hollywood, Elroy Face, and Stan the Man Unusual come to mind.  Probably the stress of being on call every day would be too great on most normal people with a decent sense of responsibly.
There doesn't seem to be much argument about Cards ownership being more concerned with keeping fans in the stands than winning it all but somehow what you've described sounds more like Mo's target audience on this issue would be DeWitt rather than the fans.
 

Last edited by Mags (12/27/2018 2:19 pm)

 

12/27/2018 9:27 pm  #161


Re: 2019

forsberg_us wrote:

Here’s an interesting tidbit I got over the weekend and how it plays out will speak volumes about the front ofice’s commitment to winning versus its commitment to putting on a front for the fans

Apparently Martinez wants to close. Schildt wants him to close, and most of the coaching staff wants him to close. Martinez doesn’t want to put in the work he needs to put in to be a top of the rotation starter. He’s lazy. He doesn’t like to show up early to the ballpark and he doesn’t like attending the pregame strategy meeting to get ready for facing a lineup 3 or 4 times. Hence his inconsistency. But as the closer, he can get away with being lazy and get by on pure stuff.

Problem is the front office wants him to start. If he’s a successful starter, then Moz looks smart signing him to an extension because he’s pitching at a bargain price. If he’s in the bullpen, his salary isn’t a bargain and the extension doesn’t look as good. Since Moz has missed on most of the recent extensions, he’s desperate for a “win” even if it means forcing a square peg into a round hole.

Chad’s wish list—let Martinez close and go sign an established starter to fill the last spot in the rotation. But it’s unlikely to happen.

Then make him the closer. He's a dumb, immature kid. Peter Pan with a 100 mph fastball. He's never going to be Chris Carpenter or Adam Wainwright, in spite of arguably possessing more talent than either. 
If Mozeliak's primary objective is to prove he's smarter than everyone else, then he's doing it wrong. The more time goes by, the more I'm convinced Luhnow was the brains of the organization.

     Thread Starter
 

12/27/2018 10:06 pm  #162


Re: 2019

If martinez can be a premium closer his 11.5 million dollar price tag is probably market value.  Also, if you are attacking this from the angle of business moves what is more valuable; a underpaid average starter or a slightly overpaid good closer.

 

12/28/2018 1:03 am  #163


Re: 2019

Looks like the news headlines are rolling in.

Pena was resigned to a minor league contract

Goold thinks 5 years 150 million is the market value of Goldschmidt

Seems the rumor mill expects the cards to deal j. martinez.  I dont

 

12/28/2018 10:51 am  #164


Re: 2019

APIAD wrote:

If martinez can be a premium closer his 11.5 million dollar price tag is probably market value. Also, if you are attacking this from the angle of business moves what is more valuable; a underpaid average starter or a slightly overpaid good closer.

You've hit on it, right here.  Mozeliak wants Martinez to be an Ace, because then the contract looks like a home run.  As a closer, he's just being paid market value and that doesn't make Moz look all that smart.

 

12/28/2018 10:55 am  #165


Re: 2019

artie_fufkin wrote:

forsberg_us wrote:

Here’s an interesting tidbit I got over the weekend and how it plays out will speak volumes about the front ofice’s commitment to winning versus its commitment to putting on a front for the fans

Apparently Martinez wants to close. Schildt wants him to close, and most of the coaching staff wants him to close. Martinez doesn’t want to put in the work he needs to put in to be a top of the rotation starter. He’s lazy. He doesn’t like to show up early to the ballpark and he doesn’t like attending the pregame strategy meeting to get ready for facing a lineup 3 or 4 times. Hence his inconsistency. But as the closer, he can get away with being lazy and get by on pure stuff.

Problem is the front office wants him to start. If he’s a successful starter, then Moz looks smart signing him to an extension because he’s pitching at a bargain price. If he’s in the bullpen, his salary isn’t a bargain and the extension doesn’t look as good. Since Moz has missed on most of the recent extensions, he’s desperate for a “win” even if it means forcing a square peg into a round hole.

Chad’s wish list—let Martinez close and go sign an established starter to fill the last spot in the rotation. But it’s unlikely to happen.

Then make him the closer. He's a dumb, immature kid. Peter Pan with a 100 mph fastball. He's never going to be Chris Carpenter or Adam Wainwright, in spite of arguably possessing more talent than either. 
If Mozeliak's primary objective is to prove he's smarter than everyone else, then he's doing it wrong. The more time goes by, the more I'm convinced Luhnow was the brains of the organization.

Luhnow has had his misses, but he's shown that he has a pretty good understanding of whatever analytic model he's using.  Mozeliak hasn't shown a good understanding of anything other than how to match bow ties and scarves to his suit.

 

12/28/2018 12:41 pm  #166


Re: 2019

forsberg_us wrote:

APIAD wrote:

If martinez can be a premium closer his 11.5 million dollar price tag is probably market value. Also, if you are attacking this from the angle of business moves what is more valuable; a underpaid average starter or a slightly overpaid good closer.

You've hit on it, right here.  Mozeliak wants Martinez to be an Ace, because then the contract looks like a home run.  As a closer, he's just being paid market value and that doesn't make Moz look all that smart.

Self preservation is always a factor with anyones job.  My advice to Moz would be that there is no substitute for winning.

 

12/29/2018 10:15 am  #167


Re: 2019

Rumors are saying that machado is headed to the yankees.  Idk why the yankees would want to displace any of their infielders.  Idk if their plan is to shuffle one of them to first base or what.  Imo the yankees have the most offensively productive 2nd, ss and 3rd base combo in baseball.

 

12/29/2018 11:02 am  #168


Re: 2019

Andujar is a butcher defensively and they can't DH him because of Stanton.  Also, Gregorious is out most of next year after having TJ surgery.

If they sign Machado, they'll look to move Andujar

 

12/29/2018 11:29 am  #169


Re: 2019

forsberg_us wrote:

Andujar is a butcher defensively and they can't DH him because of Stanton.  Also, Gregorious is out most of next year after having TJ surgery.

If they sign Machado, they'll look to move Andujar

Ill file it under "things i dont know about AL baseball".

 

12/29/2018 1:53 pm  #170


Re: 2019

APIAD wrote:

forsberg_us wrote:

Andujar is a butcher defensively and they can't DH him because of Stanton.  Also, Gregorious is out most of next year after having TJ surgery.

If they sign Machado, they'll look to move Andujar

Ill file it under "things i dont know about AL baseball".

According to Baseball Reference, Andujar was -30 in defensive runs saved.  To give you a point of comparison, Carpenter was +2 at third base.  -30 is really, really bad.

 

12/29/2018 6:56 pm  #171


Re: 2019

"-30 is really, really bad."

Think Ryan Braun.

     Thread Starter
 

1/01/2019 9:58 pm  #172


Re: 2019

Pirates sign tyler lyons to a minor league contract

 

1/02/2019 7:26 am  #173


Re: 2019

Yankees get tulo for minimum

 

1/02/2019 10:38 am  #174


Re: 2019

APIAD wrote:

Yankees get tulo for minimum

Good thinking. Replace a guy who can't play with a guy who hasn't played in over a year.
 

     Thread Starter
 

1/02/2019 10:46 pm  #175


Re: 2019

Suprised he didnt pick a team with less playing time competition.

 

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